{"id":318791,"date":"2025-01-03T14:10:31","date_gmt":"2025-01-03T19:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=318791"},"modified":"2025-01-03T14:10:31","modified_gmt":"2025-01-03T19:10:31","slug":"nfl-week-18-td-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-18-td-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Top NFL Week 18 TD picks: Bet on Guerendo to score vs. Cardinals"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got one running back, one quarterback and one receiver featured in my NFL Week 18 TD picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative: <\/strong>In the 4 p.m. slate, Isaac Guerendo should have plenty of opportunities to score in a plus matchup. Earlier on, both Jayden Daniels and Adam Thielen are worthwhile plays based on recent production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best NFL Week 18 TD picks for Sunday&#8217;s football games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 18 TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:105130\">Embed: #105130<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Guerendo anytime TD (+125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You may not have known who Guerendo was when the NFL season began &#8230; but here he is as the last man standing in the San Francisco 49ers&#8217; running back room.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Christian McCaffrey, Jordan Mason and Elijah Mitchell on injured reserve, Guerendo has risen to the top of the depth chart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past four weeks, Guerendo&#8217;s numbers are solid:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>3 TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>6 red zone carries<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>79.5 scrimmage yards\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>On the season, Guerendo ranks in the 99th percentile in average yards after contact (4.0), per Rotowire. And now he draws a juicy matchup against the Arizona Cardinals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to rbsdm.com, Arizona&#8217;s defence ranks 25th in EPA per rush and rush success rate. Back in October, San Francisco rushed for 153 yards against the Cardinals at 5.9 yards per carry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mason did most of the damage, but now it&#8217;s Guerendo&#8217;s show. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep in mind that this is a meaningless game for both sides. The 49ers should lean on their rookie, especially with QB Brock Purdy out and other key contributors dealing with injuries (George Kittle, Deebo Samuel).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Guerendo has five carries inside the 10-yard line over the past three weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Daniels anytime TD (+138):<\/strong> Daniels ran all over the Dallas Cowboys earlier this season, and he&#8217;s far from the only player to do that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Week 12, Daniels rushed seven times for 74 yards and a touchdown. On the season, Dallas has given up a league-high 24 rushing TDs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daniels hasn&#8217;t rushed for a touchdown in three straight games, but his overall output in that span (274 rush yards on 36 attempts) is superb. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, he has three-plus red zone carries in three of his past four games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Thielen anytime TD (+175):<\/strong> Thielen is finishing his age-34 season strong, and he&#8217;s clearly the most reliable red zone target for the Carolina Panthers right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 11-year vet has put on a clinic over his past five games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>4 TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1+ red zone targets in 4\/5 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>6+ targets in 5\/5 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5+ catches in 5\/5 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Xavier Legette has only been targeted in the red zone in one of Carolina&#8217;s past five games, and tailback Raheem Blackshear was abysmal last week in his first start (eight rushes, 20 yards).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Panthers get into the prime scoring area, expect Thielen to be Bryce Young&#8217;s primary option.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:49 p.m. ET on 01\/03\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got one running back, one quarterback and one receiver featured in my NFL Week 18 TD picks. The pregame narrative: In the 4 p.m. slate, Isaac Guerendo should have plenty of opportunities to score in a plus matchup. Earlier on, both Jayden Daniels and Adam Thielen are worthwhile plays based on recent production. Check [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":318849,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-318791","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 18 TD picks: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 18 TD picks. 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