{"id":318404,"date":"2025-01-01T11:22:29","date_gmt":"2025-01-01T16:22:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=318404"},"modified":"2025-01-01T14:39:49","modified_gmt":"2025-01-01T19:39:49","slug":"notre-dame-vs-georgia-cfp-quarterfinal-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/notre-dame-vs-georgia-cfp-quarterfinal-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Notre Dame vs. Georgia CFP same-game parlay predictions: Look for Jeremiyah Love to lead the Irish in playoff quarterfinal"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In the final College Football Playoff matchup of the quarterfinal round, the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish face the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Jeremiyah Love has produced all year for the Irish, and I think he&#8217;ll find the end zone once again on Wednesday. My +320 SGP also includes an alt spread in Notre Dame&#8217;s favour and a fade of Georgia receiver Dillon Bell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-6c37cb08-cf64-44cf-857a-d9409b9361a5\">Check out my top Notre Dame vs. Georgia predictions for this quarterfinal CFP matchup on Jan. 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-c42e5bcd-3d78-44a9-a94a-015d114981be\">Notre Dame vs. Georgia predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Editor&#8217;s note: Notre Dame vs. Georgia, originally scheduled for Jan. 1, was postponed to Jan. 2.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\">college football betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:104844\">Embed: #104844<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Notre Dame +3.5 + Love anytime TD + Bell under 34.5 receiving yards (+320)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Notre Dame +3.5 (-177):<\/strong> My moneyline lean is with Notre Dame, so I&#8217;m perfectly content to back the Fighting Irish with a field goal and a hook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notre Dame is 10-2-1 ATS this season, which is the third-best mark in Division I. The team covered this number in every game, posting an average point differential of +25.0 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Georgia went just 4-9 ATS and failed to cover a -3.5 spread five times \u2014 including back-to-back games entering the Sugar Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Carson Beck sidelined, Georgia has to turn to an unproven quarterback, Gunner Stockton. The sophomore has just 51 career pass attempts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By comparison, Notre Dame is led by senior QB Riley Leonard, who&#8217;s in his third year as a starter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a game of this magnitude, I&#8217;d rather hitch my wagon to Leonard and his experience over the uncertainty of Stockton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Love anytime TD (-121):<\/strong> This looks like a great pick as a straight wager, and it fits in well with my belief that ND can at least hang around against Georgia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Love isn&#8217;t a workhorse back, per se, as he averages 12.8 touches per game. But he always seems to give the Irish their money&#8217;s worth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 13 games, Love has 18 total touchdowns. And he&#8217;s cashed this bet in every matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against Indiana in the first round of the CFP, Love galloped for a 98-yard score to set the tone early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/ESPNCFB\/status\/1870280793831964739\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Don&#8217;t let Georgia&#8217;s reputation of stout defence fool you. This year&#8217;s squad has been good, but not great:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>51st in rush EPA\/play<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>42nd in rush success rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30th in rush yards\/attempt<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bell under 34.5 receiving yards (-195):<\/strong> My wariness about Stockton extends to Georgia&#8217;s pass-catchers, and I think Bell is a worthwhile player to fade on Wednesday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bell averaged 36.1 yards this year and went under 34.5 yards in eight of 12 games. So unless he&#8217;s seeing a particularly encouraging matchup, this is already an iffy line to take the over on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notre Dame is far from an encouraging matchup for Bell, given that the Irish rank No. 1 in defensive EPA per pass, according to gameonpaper.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Irish were the only team in the country to hold opponents to a sub-50.0% completion percentage, and they also allowed just 5.6 yards per attempt (third in the NCAA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Georgia should struggle to move the ball through the air, making this a very attainable under for Bell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:05 a.m. on 01\/01\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the final College Football Playoff matchup of the quarterfinal round, the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish face the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl. The pregame narrative: Jeremiyah Love has produced all year for the Irish, and I think he&#8217;ll find the end zone once again on Wednesday. My +320 SGP [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":318408,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[50],"class_list":["post-318404","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-college-football-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Notre Dame vs. Georgia predictions: CFP quarterfinal | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Notre Dame vs. Georgia predictions for the College Football Playoff quarterfinal. 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