{"id":317599,"date":"2024-12-28T15:53:40","date_gmt":"2024-12-28T20:53:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=317599"},"modified":"2024-12-28T15:53:41","modified_gmt":"2024-12-28T20:53:41","slug":"falcons-vs-commanders-week-17-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/falcons-vs-commanders-week-17-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Falcons vs. Commanders Week 17 SNF prop picks: Michael Penix is worth backing on Sunday Night Football"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two exciting rookie quarterbacks take the field for Sunday Night Football when the Atlanta Falcons face the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Michael Penix Jr. is back under centre for the Falcons after making his first NFL start last weekend. I’m backing him to clear a modest yardage total as my best bet, and I expect Terry McLaurin to continue producing for the Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Falcons vs. Commanders prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 29.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Falcons vs. Commanders prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #104553<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Penix 200+ passing yards (-121)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Penix made his first NFL start last week, and it wasn’t great. But it wasn’t terrible, either, and his efficiency was an encouraging takeaway. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The eighth-overall pick completed 18 of 27 passes (66.7%) for 202 yards. He didn’t throw any TD passes, but he averaged a respectable 7.5 yards per attempt \u2014 identical to Joe Burrow’s career average. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

You never know exactly what you’ll get out of a rookie, and Sunday night will be the first road start of his career. But I believe in Penix’s pedigree after an epic college career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prior to becoming a top-10 NFL draft pick, Penix threw for nearly 5,000 yards in his final collegiate season \u2014 en route to a Heisman runner-up finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He knows how to sling it, and Atlanta might need him to do more of that as a road underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a game script that should<\/em> encourage passing, 200 yards isn’t much to ask for from an NFL quarterback. As long as he’s in the ballpark of 30-ish pass attempts, I like this prop bet a lot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Washington has allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards this year, but that’s because it’s also faced the third-fewest pass attempts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

From an efficiency standpoint, the Commanders are a nice matchup for opposing QBs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> The Commanders rank 24th in defensive EPA per dropback and 16th in defensive dropback success rate, per rbsdm.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

McLaurin 60+ receiving yards (-136):<\/strong> Last week, McLaurin secured his fifth consecutive 1,000-yard season. He also hit the 60-yard milestone for the fourth game in a row.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

McLaurin is the clear-cut top target in Washington’s high-octane offence. The Commanders rank fourth in scoring and fifth in yardage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for McLaurin, he’s 18 catches and almost 500 yards ahead of any of his teammates in the stat department. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Simply put, 60 yards isn’t much for a WR1. Atlanta has allowed 13 players to hit the 60-yard mark over its past 10 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 3:24 p.m. ET 12\/28\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two exciting rookie quarterbacks take the field for Sunday Night Football when the Atlanta Falcons face the Washington Commanders. The pregame narrative: Michael Penix Jr. is back under centre for the Falcons after making his first NFL start last weekend. I’m backing him to clear a modest yardage total as my best bet, and I […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":317611,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-317599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFalcons vs. Commanders prop picks & predictions: Week 17 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Falcons vs. Commanders prop picks for Week 17. 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