{"id":317432,"date":"2024-12-27T14:31:34","date_gmt":"2024-12-27T19:31:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=317432"},"modified":"2024-12-27T16:12:16","modified_gmt":"2024-12-27T21:12:16","slug":"nfl-week-17-prop-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-17-prop-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NFL Week 17 prop bets: Back Bijan Robinson, fade Rico Dowdle on Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A trio of running backs headline these NFL Week 17 prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: I’m backing Bijan Robinson and Bucky Irving to produce in plus matchups and am fading Rico Dowdle against a tough Philadelphia Eagles defence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best NFL Week 17 prop bets for the upcoming games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NFL Week 17 prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL Week 17 betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #104465<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Robinson over 18.5 receiving yards (-117)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I backed Robinson to clear his 21.5 receiving total last week and it didn’t come close. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlanta’s tailback caught just two passes for nine yards but was still heavily involved, turning 22 carries into 94 rushing yards and two scores. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’ll go back to the well on Robinson as a pass catcher despite him falling short of this line in three straight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The second-year RB is still 10-5 against this line on the season while averaging 28.0 receiving yards per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s elusive enough to clear this mark on just one catch and I expect him to be targeted often by Michael Penix Jr. against the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Washington’s defence has the fourth-highest blitz rate (31.3%) and ninth-highest pressure rate (23.6%) in the NFL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That should force the rookie QB to turn to Robinson as a check-down option.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: Robison has a 13.2% target share which ranks in the 94th percentile of all RBs, according to Rotowire. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dowdle under 58.5 rushing yards (-113):<\/strong> On the surface level, the over on Dowdle’s rushing total might seem like a smash play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CeeDee Lamb’s season is over and Dallas’ running back has topped 100 rushing yards in three of his last four games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But no Lamb means the Cowboys will struggle to move the chains, which should in turn put them down early and force a more pass-heavy offence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dowdle is coming off an awful 13-carry, 23-yard performance against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and now gets one of the best rush defences in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Philadelphia allows the ninth-fewest rushing yards per game (102.9) and the eighth-fewest yards per rush (4.3). The Eagles held Dowdle to 53 yards when they met earlier this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Irving over 80.5 rushing yards (-114):<\/strong> Irving went berserk the last time he played the Carolina Panthers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • 25 carries, 152 rushing yards, 1 TD<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Tampa Bay’s lead back got nicked toward the end of that game and was forced to exit early the following week against the Las Vegas Raiders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    But he’s looked solid in two starts since, logging 117 yards against the defensively stout Los Angeles Chargers before putting up 68 yards against the Dallas Cowboys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Buccaneers \u2014 who are 8-point home favourites \u2014 should be up early on Carolina, which will lead to a favourable game script for Irving.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    And even if this one is closer than the spread indicates, the RB should have a day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Carolina allows the most rushing yards per game (175.2) and the most yards per carry (5.0). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Picks made at 1:55 p.m. ET on 12\/27\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    A trio of running backs headline these NFL Week 17 prop bets. The pregame narrative: I’m backing Bijan Robinson and Bucky Irving to produce in plus matchups and am fading Rico Dowdle against a tough Philadelphia Eagles defence. Check out the best NFL Week 17 prop bets for the upcoming games. NFL Week 17 prop […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":317455,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-317432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNFL Week 17 prop bets: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 17 prop bets. 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