{"id":316886,"date":"2024-12-24T08:34:45","date_gmt":"2024-12-24T13:34:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=316886"},"modified":"2024-12-24T08:34:45","modified_gmt":"2024-12-24T13:34:45","slug":"chiefs-vs-steelers-week-17-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/chiefs-vs-steelers-week-17-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Chiefs vs. Steelers Week 17 same-game parlay predictions: Back Mahomes, Hunt on Christmas Day"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers open up the Christmas Day NFL doubleheader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Kansas City hasn&#8217;t been very good ATS this season so I&#8217;m taking the Steelers to cover a teased-up spread at home. I&#8217;m adding prop picks on Patrick Mahomes and Kareem Hunt to craft a +275 ticket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Chiefs vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions for Christmas Day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Chiefs vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\"><strong> <\/strong><strong>NFL betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:104295\">Embed: #104295<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Mahomes over 224.5 passing yards + Hunt over 7.5 receiving yards + Steelers +6.5 (+275)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Mahomes over 224.5 passing yards<\/strong> (-278):<\/strong> Despite having a down season, this is an achievable number for Mahomes against the Steelers&#8217; defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh allows the 13th-most passing yards (220.7) to quarterbacks so this is an above-average matchup for the reigning Super Bowl MVP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And Mahomes averages 240.5 passing yards per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The other good news is that the Chiefs&#8217; offence should be at the best we&#8217;ve seen since the early stages of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isiah Pacecho is another week removed from the injured list and newcomer De&#8217;Andre Hopkins has been a welcomed addition around the end zone. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As you&#8217;ll read later, I&#8217;m predicting a tightly contested game which would be favourable for this leg of the bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Hunt over 7.5 receiving yards<\/strong> (-110): <\/strong>Even with Pacheco back in the mix, Hunt has earned a role in this offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The tailback has at least one reception in each of the past five games, clearing this total three times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This total is so low that Hunt could easily clear it with one catch out of the backfield. Pittsburgh&#8217;s defence can be effective at sending pressure, too. It blitzes the QB 26.1% of the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With T.J. Watt hot on his tail, Mahomes should be forced to get the ball out quickly at times and Hunt has become one of his favourite check-down options.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Steelers +6.5 (-200): <\/strong>Backing the Steelers on an alternate spread gives this parlay some negative correlation which drives the price up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I do think this is the right side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City is 7-8 ATS this season despite being an almost perfect 14-1. On the other side, Pittsburgh is 10-5, which is the second-best ATS record of any team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Steelers rely on their strong defensive play and QB Russell Wilson has been a steady addition to the offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh lost consecutive games by more than a touchdown but before that, it hadn&#8217;t happened all season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those two defeats were on the road against the Philadephia Eagles and Baltimore Ravens. Those sides have explosive offences while the Chiefs rely more on their defence for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Steelers are at home on Christmas Day where they haven&#8217;t lost by seven-plus points all season long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With that being said, I&#8217;m expecting a gritty matchup between these defensively sound sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 8:10 a.m. on 12\/24\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers open up the Christmas Day NFL doubleheader. The pregame narrative: Kansas City hasn&#8217;t been very good ATS this season so I&#8217;m taking the Steelers to cover a teased-up spread at home. I&#8217;m adding prop picks on Patrick Mahomes and Kareem Hunt to craft a +275 ticket. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":316896,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-316886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Chiefs vs. Steelers predictions: Week 17 Christmas Day SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Chiefs vs. Steelers predictions for Week 16. 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