{"id":316000,"date":"2024-12-20T13:55:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-20T18:55:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=316000"},"modified":"2024-12-20T13:55:01","modified_gmt":"2024-12-20T18:55:01","slug":"texans-vs-chiefs-week-16-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/texans-vs-chiefs-week-16-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Texans vs. Chiefs Week 16 same-game parlay predictions: Back Mixon and Worthy at +320"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs clash in a Saturday afternoon showdown at Arrowhead Stadium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> I believe a menacing Houston defence will continue to find success, and that has me taking the Texans on an alt-spread. Prop bets on Joe Mixon and Xavier Worthy round out this +320 SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions for Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:104128\">Embed: #104128<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Texans +8.5 + Mixon over 19.5 receiving yards + Worthy over 38.5 receiving yards (+320)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Texans +8.5 (-235):<\/strong> There are plenty of good reasons to take the alt-spread on Houston here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite sustaining a high ankle injury on Sunday, Patrick Mahomes is cleared to play for the Chiefs. I can&#8217;t imagine he will perform anywhere near his peak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sure, Kansas City has a league-best 13-1 record but it isn&#8217;t winning games convincingly and Houston has one of the best defences in football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kansas City is 6-8 ATS and only 3\/13 wins came by more than eight points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Houston has covered +8.5 in 13\/14 games while ranking third in RBSDM.com&#8217;s defensive EPA per play.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since debuting in the NFL last season, Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud is 8-4 ATS as an underdog.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, the Texans&#8217; pass rush \u2014 ranked second in sacks (averaging 3.2 per game) \u2014 should give the immobile Mahomes tons of problems in the pocket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the injury situation and the Chiefs&#8217; tendency to win by tight margins, teasing the Texans through a few key numbers is a solid play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Mixon over 19.5 receiving yards <\/strong><\/strong>(-167):<\/strong> Since the injury to receiver Stefon Diggs, Houston&#8217;s running back has been more involved in the passing game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mixon has 20+ receiving yards in four of his last five games, averaging 32.4 yards in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The running back has seen at least four targets in five straight games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs&#8217; front seven has stifled opposing backs to a league-best 62.2 rushing yards per game. I expect Mixon to get some targets with the Houston likely playing from behind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Worthy over 38.5 receiving yards (-115):<\/strong> The Chiefs are making a concerted effort to give the ball more to its 2024 first-round pick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Worthy has gone over this mark in five straight games, averaging 49.5 receiving yards in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He was on the field for over 80 percent of plays in back-to-back games (most among Chiefs wideouts).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Worthy is coming off a career-high six catches on 11 targets for 46 yards.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He gets a favourable matchup in Houston, which gives up 155.1 receiving yards on average to wide receivers per CBS Sports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Mahomes dealing with a bad ankle, I expect Andy Reid to stir up more screenplays for the speedy wideout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:12 p.m. on 12\/19\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs clash in a Saturday afternoon showdown at Arrowhead Stadium. The pregame narrative: I believe a menacing Houston defence will continue to find success, and that has me taking the Texans on an alt-spread. Prop bets on Joe Mixon and Xavier Worthy round out this +320 SGP. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":316123,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-316000","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Texans vs. Chiefs predictions: NFL Week 16 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions for Week 16. 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