{"id":315857,"date":"2024-12-19T12:23:26","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T17:23:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=315857"},"modified":"2024-12-19T13:31:40","modified_gmt":"2024-12-19T18:31:40","slug":"indiana-vs-notre-dame-cfp-first-round-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/indiana-vs-notre-dame-cfp-first-round-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Indiana vs. Notre Dame CFP same-game parlay predictions: Leonard should lead Fighting Irish to playoff win"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The first round of the expanded College Football Playoff begins on Friday Night in South Bend, Indiana, where the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the No. 10 Indiana Hoosiers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> It&#8217;s been a cinematic season for Hoosiers, but I think Friday will be their final act. I&#8217;m fading Kurtis Rourke against a nasty pass defence and backing Riley Leonard to make some plays with his legs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-6c37cb08-cf64-44cf-857a-d9409b9361a5\">Check out my top Indiana vs. Notre Dame predictions for this first-round CFP matchup on Dec. 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-c42e5bcd-3d78-44a9-a94a-015d114981be\">Indiana vs. Notre Dame predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\">college football betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:103963\">Embed: #103963<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Notre Dame -6.5 + Rourke under 219.5 passing yards + Leonard over 49.5 rushing yards (+260)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Notre Dame -6.5 (-129):<\/strong> The Irish have the worst loss of any CFP team, which was a home defeat against unranked Northern Illinois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that game was played all the way back on Sept. 7 (Week 2) in a hangover spot after ND&#8217;s 10-point road win against Texas A&amp;M. And since losing to a mediocre MAC school, the Irish have played some thoroughly dominant ball:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>10-straight wins by 7+ points<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>9-1 ATS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>+30.7 average victory margin<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>A resume comparison between Notre Dame and Indiana is tough because neither team faced many challenges this season. Both schools ranked outside the top 60 in ESPN&#8217;s strength of schedule metric.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To me, the home environment for ND matters. The last time Indiana was on the road, the Hoosiers accrued just 151 total yards in a blowout loss to Ohio State.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rourke under 219.5 passing yards (-195):<\/strong> Part of my belief in Notre Dame is its stellar pass defence, which should cause problems for Rourke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to gameonpaper.com, ND&#8217;s pass defence ranks No. 1 in EPA per pass and passing success rate. The Irish were also the country&#8217;s only unit to allow a sub-50.0% completion percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Facing run-heavy schools like Army and Navy meant ND didn&#8217;t allow a lot of total passing yards, either. But the efficiency metrics tell a more accurate \u2014 and impressive \u2014 story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rourke&#8217;s success at IU this season was built on efficiency, not volume. He paced the Big Ten in yards per attempt (9.9), but his Hoosiers were 98th in pass play percentage (43.7%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the aforementioned disaster against Ohio State, Rourke finished with 68 yards on 8-of-18 passing. I don&#8217;t expect it to be quite that ugly, but I believe he&#8217;ll go under a 219.5-yard total for a fourth time in six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Leonard over 49.5 rushing yards (-143):<\/strong> Running back Jeremiyah Love is expected to play for Notre Dame, which is a feather in the Irish&#8217;s cap. But after he suffered a leg injury on Nov. 30, it&#8217;s tough to say how healthy he&#8217;ll be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fortunately for ND, Leonard is a very capable runner from under centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Duke transfer rushed for 721 yards this season (60.1 yards\/game).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Leonard tallied 50+ rush yards in 8\/12 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I would&#8217;ve felt good about Leonard&#8217;s floor as a rusher anyway, given that he&#8217;s averaging more than 10 carries per game as it is. But Love&#8217;s health status could entice ND to lean more heavily on its quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:15 a.m. on 12\/19\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The first round of the expanded College Football Playoff begins on Friday Night in South Bend, Indiana, where the No. 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the No. 10 Indiana Hoosiers. The pregame narrative: It&#8217;s been a cinematic season for Hoosiers, but I think Friday will be their final act. I&#8217;m fading Kurtis Rourke against [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":315893,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[50],"class_list":["post-315857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-college-football-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Indiana vs. Notre Dame predictions: CFP first round SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Indiana vs. Notre Dame predictions for the first round of the College Football Playoff. 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