{"id":315831,"date":"2024-12-19T13:39:29","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T18:39:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=315831"},"modified":"2024-12-19T17:45:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-19T22:45:00","slug":"epl-matchday-17-picks-and-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/epl-matchday-17-picks-and-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"EPL Matchday 17 picks and predictions: Bet on Leicester City and take the over at the Gtech"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got two bets on this weekend&#8217;s Premier League festive fixtures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> On Sunday, I am backing Leicester City to grab a home victory over a frail Wolverhampton side. Before that, take over 2.5 total goals in the clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best EPL Matchday 17 picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EPL Matchday 17 picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/football\/england\/premier_league\">Premier League betting markets<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:103992\">Embed: #103992<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> <strong>Leicester City draw no bet (-125<strong>)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This matchup has massive implications for relegation and I expect Leicester to come out of it on top.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things are trending positively for the Foxes since Ruud van Nistelrooy took over as head coach. The Dutchman has instilled new energy into the squad playing more freely in attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recent results saw Leicester deliver a 3-1 win over West Ham and a thrilling 2-2 draw against a respectable Brighton side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ageless wonder Jamie Vardy \u2014 who has seven goal contributions in the last eight matches \u2014 spearheads a Leicester attack that&#8217;s scored in all eight home matches and is capable of punishing a poor Wolves defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wolves have allowed a league-worse 14 goals from set pieces, a method that Leicester has scored at a modest 18.3 percent clip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Four consecutive defeats \u2014 off a deflating 2-1 loss to Ipswich Town \u2014 and the firing of head coach Gary O&#8217;Neil has led the Wolves into utter turmoil. In addition, newly-appointed manager Vitor Pereira likely won&#8217;t take the reins on Sunday, with such short notice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The suspension of Rayan Ait-Nouri adds a further blow and leaves them without an attacking wingback to control the left flank. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Algerian international sits in the 80th percentile in all shooting metrics among left-backs, per Fotmob.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ait-Nouri averages 1.84 successful dribbles per 90, ranks 94th percentile.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Leicester has a 2-3-3 record at home, as opposed to 1-2-5 on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I say this is a prime spot for the Foxes to pounce on their prey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Wolves have conceded two or more goals in 11 of its last 13 league matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Brentford\/Nottingham Forest over 2.5 goals (-129): <\/strong>Matches at the GTech have been nothing short of exciting.<br><br>Surprisingly, Brentford owns a league-best 7-1-0 record at home, where its matches are averaging a whopping 5.0 goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, Brentford matches have gone over 2.5 goals 13 of 16 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Its matchup against a stubborn Nottingham Forest side \u2014 averaging 1.22 expected goals allowed (xGA) \u2014 isn&#8217;t a favourable one, but I believe that&#8217;s baked into this low number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The last match between these two sides ended in a 3-2 victory for the Bees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the goals fest in Brentford matches has reached an unsustainable rate, I believe both teams have the weapons to contribute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 12:06 p.m. on 12\/19\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got two bets on this weekend&#8217;s Premier League festive fixtures. The pregame narrative: On Sunday, I am backing Leicester City to grab a home victory over a frail Wolverhampton side. Before that, take over 2.5 total goals in the clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest. Check out the best EPL Matchday 17 picks. EPL [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":315836,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[619,229],"class_list":["post-315831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-premier-league","tag-epl-betting","tag-soccer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>EPL Matchday 17 picks, predictions and best bets | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our EPL Matchday 17 picks and predictions. 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