{"id":315768,"date":"2024-12-18T12:43:42","date_gmt":"2024-12-18T17:43:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=315768"},"modified":"2024-12-18T12:43:43","modified_gmt":"2024-12-18T17:43:43","slug":"nhl-prop-picks-and-predictions-december-18","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nhl-prop-picks-and-predictions-december-18\/","title":{"rendered":"NHL prop picks Dec. 18: Back Kyle Connor and Matthew Tkachuk to produce Wednesday night"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There are five games on Wednesday&#8217;s NHL slate, and I have two props worth taking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Kyle Connor and the Winnipeg Jets have a plus matchup against the Anaheim Ducks. I also have a play on Matthew Tkachuk to record a power-play point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NHL prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to<\/strong> <strong>full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/ice_hockey\/competitions\/10011\">NHL betting markets.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Connor to score (-106)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ll gladly take this price on a player of Connor&#8217;s calibre with the type of matchup the Jets face.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Winnipeg has been dominating Anaheim, winning the last eight matchups with a +20 goal differential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Ducks haven&#8217;t been doing themselves any favours, either. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>32nd in shots allowed per game (33.2)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>27th in penalty kill percentage (72.5%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>T-18th in goals allowed per game (3.07)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>When you flip the script, this is where the plus matchup presents itself. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jets rank first in power-play percentage (31.7%) and third in goals per game (3.67).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Connor should be circling his calendar every time the Ducks are due up. He has 12 goals, seven assists and a plus-9 rating in 17 career games against Anaheim.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past seven games, Connor has six goals and 11 points with a 20.7 shooting percentage \u2014 well above his career average of 14.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His career points per game (0.93) is impressive in its own right, but this season, he&#8217;s performing at a career-high 1.21 PPG pace and is top 10 in the NHL in shots\/game (3.48).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat: <\/strong>Anaheim has the highest expected goals against per 60 minutes in the NHL (3.7), per Natural Stat Trick. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tkachuk over 0.5 power-play points (+195):<\/strong> I&#8217;m intrigued by this matchup with two top-10 teams in the NHL squaring off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although they&#8217;re lower in the standings, the Panthers are road favourites against the Wild, who are 7-3-0 in their last 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My perspective is the special team&#8217;s disparity will have a lot to do with the outcome of this game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Florida owns the sixth-best power play (26.0%), whereas Minnesota owns the third-worst penalty kill (70.7%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tkachuk leads all Panthers skaters in power-play points (13) and power-play ice time (3:51).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The former Calgary Flame has also been on a heater in December, picking up six goals and six assists in seven games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m anticipating a good old-fashioned barn burner as the over has hit in seven of the last 10 meetings between Minnesota and Florida. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 12:37 p.m. 12\/18\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are five games on Wednesday&#8217;s NHL slate, and I have two props worth taking. The pregame narrative: Kyle Connor and the Winnipeg Jets have a plus matchup against the Anaheim Ducks. I also have a play on Matthew Tkachuk to record a power-play point. Check out my NHL prop picks for Dec. 18. NHL [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":30,"featured_media":315756,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,58],"tags":[49,8,206],"class_list":["post-315768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nhl","tag-nhl","tag-nhl-betting","tag-nhl-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NHL prop picks Dec. 18: Best bets, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NHL prop picks for Dec. 18. 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