{"id":315744,"date":"2024-12-18T12:45:20","date_gmt":"2024-12-18T17:45:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=315744"},"modified":"2024-12-18T12:45:20","modified_gmt":"2024-12-18T17:45:20","slug":"broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Broncos vs. Chargers Week 16 TNF prop picks: Fade Justin Herbert, back Marvin Mims on Thursday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A pair of playoff-calibre AFC West squads meet on Thursday Night Football in a matchup between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Justin Herbert is in a rut, and I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;ll snap out of it against Denver&#8217;s daunting pass defence. As for the Broncos&#8217; offence, I like Marvin Mims to clear a modest receiving yards line after some encouraging usage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Thursday Night Football on Dec. 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:103886\">Embed: #103886<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Mims over 26.5 receiving yards (-117)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aside from Courtland Sutton, the Broncos&#8217; receiving corps is a merry-go-round of guys who all show glimpses of promise without any sustained success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But there&#8217;s something about Mims that has my attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past five games, Mims has commanded a 35.2% target share on his routes. He&#8217;s only averaged 3.8 targets per game in that span, mind you, but the ball tends to find him when he&#8217;s on the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is that a product of Mims running strong routes and getting open? Or are the Broncos scheming several plays with him in mind?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Without getting to ask head coach Sean Payton, I can&#8217;t know for sure. Regardless, Mims&#8217; target share when he&#8217;s on the field is a nice indicator that he&#8217;s carving out a role for himself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Prior to Week 10, Mims never saw more than three targets in a game. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since Week 10, he&#8217;s had 4+ targets in 4\/5 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Broncos are trying to scheme up more plays for Mims, that would make sense to me. As a rookie last season, he was a Pro Bowl kick returner and proved he can make plays in space.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Mims has averaged 46.2 yards\/game in his past five, cashing this bet three times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Herbert under 228.5 passing yards (-115):<\/strong> Nursing an ankle injury and coming off four tough weeks, Herbert is walking \u2014 or possibly limping \u2014 into a brutal matchup against the Broncos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Herbert has gone under this yardage total in every matchup from Week 12-15:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>218 yards, 0 TDs (vs. Ravens)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>147 yards, 0 TDs (at Falcons)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>213 yards, 1 TD (at Chiefs)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>195 yards, 2 TDs (vs. Buccaneers)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver ranks No. 1 in defensive EPA per dropback, per rbsdm.com, and No. 3 in net yards per attempt (5.4). The Broncos aren&#8217;t going to make things easy on Herbert.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that Herbert threw for 237 yards against Denver in Week 6, but that was on 34 pass attempts \u2014 well above his average of 28.5 attempts this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After practicing in a limited fashion on Monday and Tuesday, I&#8217;m not expecting Herbert to sit on Thursday night. His mobility could be affected, though, adding another reason to fade him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 12:00 p.m. ET 12\/18\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A pair of playoff-calibre AFC West squads meet on Thursday Night Football in a matchup between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers. The pregame narrative: Justin Herbert is in a rut, and I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;ll snap out of it against Denver&#8217;s daunting pass defence. As for the Broncos&#8217; offence, I like Marvin Mims [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":315769,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-315744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 16 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 16 | NSB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/12\/CP173618602-scaled.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/\",\"name\":\"Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks & predictions: Week 16 | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks & predictions: Week 16 | NSB","description":"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks & predictions: Week 16 | NSB","og_description":"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1707,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/12\/CP173618602-scaled.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/","name":"Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks & predictions: Week 16 | NSB","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00","dateModified":"2024-12-18T17:45:20+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our top Broncos vs. Chargers prop picks for Week 16. NFL betting odds and predictions for Thursday Night Football in Los Angeles.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/broncos-vs-chargers-week-16-prop-picks-2024\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=315744"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315744\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":315775,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/315744\/revisions\/315775"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/315769"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=315744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=315744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=315744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}