{"id":313507,"date":"2024-12-06T16:42:02","date_gmt":"2024-12-06T21:42:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=313507"},"modified":"2024-12-06T16:42:02","modified_gmt":"2024-12-06T21:42:02","slug":"nfl-week-14-td-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-14-td-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Top NFL Week 14 TD picks: Back Pickens and Evans to score on Sunday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mike Evans and George Pickens headline this week&#8217;s touchdown picks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Pittsburgh Steelers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are fighting for their respective divisions and I expect both teams&#8217; top wideout to produce. Elsewhere, I like Tyrone Tracy Jr. to score for a second consecutive game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out the best NFL Week 14 TD picks for the upcoming games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 14 TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Evans anytime TD (-106)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There were some concerns Evans might not play this week after missing back-to-back practices with a calf injury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the veteran wideout was back on the field Friday, which is a strong indication he&#8217;ll suit up for Sunday&#8217;s bout against the Las Vegas Raiders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And Tampa Bay desperately needs him in the mix. Evans returned to form last weekend against the New York Giants, hauling in eight of 12 targets for 118 yards and a score. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/NFL\/status\/1863334751500661083\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">No one has consistently found the end zone like Evans over the last decade. He has 101 touchdowns since the 2014-15 season and has 20 in 26 games since Baker Mayfield joined the Bucs last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sunday&#8217;s meeting against Las Vegas presents a golden opportunity for Evans to add to that total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Raiders have allowed 29.5 points per game during their eight-game losing streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Las Vegas has allowed 13 passing touchdowns in its last five games and has the third-worst dropback EPA per play in that span, per RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pickens anytime TD (+100): <\/strong>If last week was anything to go by, Sunday&#8217;s matchup in Pittsburgh could be a shootout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Steelers secured a 44-38 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals while the Cleveland Browns lost a 41-32 thriller to the Denver Broncos. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pickens was held to just four catches and 48 yards when these teams met a few weeks ago. But that game was contested in a blizzard, and Pittsburgh attempted 34 rushes to just 21 passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Steelers have the second-highest rush rate in football (51.21%) but that&#8217;s still a massive outlier. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cleveland&#8217;s secondary is mediocre at best, and Pickens should see a much higher volume of targets \u2014 especially in the red zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pickens&#8217; 16 red zone targets are tied for the fifth-most in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tracy anytime TD (+110):<\/strong> The Giants have to start scoring touchdowns at some point, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">New York averages a league-low 15.3 points per game, so backing any player on that roster to score can be daunting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Tracy has been the team&#8217;s best rushing option and has a grade-A matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New Orleans Saints rank 30th in defensive EPA per rush and 31st in rush success rate. They&#8217;re also tied for allowing the sixth-most rushing touchdowns per game (1.3). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tracy found the end zone on Thanksgiving and has 14 of New York&#8217;s 19 red zone rush attempts since taking over the starting job in Week 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 4:36 p.m. ET on 12\/06\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mike Evans and George Pickens headline this week&#8217;s touchdown picks. The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Steelers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are fighting for their respective divisions and I expect both teams&#8217; top wideout to produce. Elsewhere, I like Tyrone Tracy Jr. to score for a second consecutive game. Check out the best NFL Week 14 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":313436,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-313507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 14 TD picks: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 14 TD picks. 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