{"id":312405,"date":"2024-11-30T14:37:31","date_gmt":"2024-11-30T19:37:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=312405"},"modified":"2024-11-30T15:34:30","modified_gmt":"2024-11-30T20:34:30","slug":"49ers-vs-bills-week-13-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/49ers-vs-bills-week-13-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"49ers vs. Bills Week 13 SNF prop picks: Bet on Josh Allen to dominate on the ground"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Buffalo Bills are off a bye and into prime time at home against the San Francisco 49ers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Snow is in the forecast for Sunday Night Football, and I&#8217;m expecting a strong effort from Josh Allen on the ground. I&#8217;m looking for him to cash a pair of wagers with his legs. Conversely, I&#8217;m fading a beaten-up Brock Purdy who&#8217;s battling more than just the weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my 49ers vs. Bills prop picks for Sunday Night Football on Dec. 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">49ers vs. Bills prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:102084\">Embed: #102084<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Allen to score a touchdown (+104)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco is coming off a lopsided, 38-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Those who watched the game know that was as scathing of a loss as that team has suffered all season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forget about Purdy&#8217;s absence, which didn&#8217;t contribute at all to the squad&#8217;s inability to stop the run. Green Bay handed the ball to Josh Jacobs 26 times for 106 yards and three touchdowns in the victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Niners have allowed 11 rushing touchdowns across their last five games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s tough news with Allen and the Bills on deck. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo&#8217;s rushing attack has contributed plenty to the team&#8217;s offensive success, ranking fourth in the league in rushing touchdowns (18).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>James Cook is a shifty runner, but Allen often calls his own number near the goal line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bills are 11th in run-play percentage (46.37%) and I expect them to lean on the ground game in this contest. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Allen has a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Allen over 35.5 rushing yards (-113):<\/strong> The last time we saw Allen, he did this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/twitter.com\/NFL\/status\/1858304043463975188\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen&#8217;s game-clinching rumble contributed to his 55 rushing yards on 12 attempts in the team&#8217;s victory over Kansas City.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s further proof that Allen will put the ball in his own hands in big moments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A primetime game with snow in the forecast and positioning in the AFC on the line sets up another important moment for the Bills.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allen is using his legs more, too, as we get deeper into the campaign. He&#8217;s totalled 29 carries and 137 rushing yards (34.3 per game) across his last four contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like his chances of besting this total against a San Francisco defence that is beaten up after a physical loss to Green Bay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Purdy longest completion &#8211; under 33.5 yards (-113):<\/strong> There&#8217;s a lot working against Purdy airing it out in this contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first is his health. Purdy is dealing with an injury to his throwing shoulder that kept him out of last week&#8217;s game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Secondly, the Niners are an injury-riddled bunch. Brandon Aiyuk is out and Purdy&#8217;s best protector, Trent Williams, is sidelined. That means he&#8217;ll have less time to step into passes deeper down the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thirdly, the Bills feature a frugal pass defence. Buffalo is tied for ceding the fifth-fewest yards per throw (6.2) in the league.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Add in some inclement weather and I don&#8217;t see Purdy getting anywhere close to this mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 2:18 p.m. ET 11\/30\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Buffalo Bills are off a bye and into prime time at home against the San Francisco 49ers. The pregame narrative: Snow is in the forecast for Sunday Night Football, and I&#8217;m expecting a strong effort from Josh Allen on the ground. I&#8217;m looking for him to cash a pair of wagers with his legs. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":312498,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-312405","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>49ers vs. Bills prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 13 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top 49ers vs. Bills prop picks for Week 13. 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