{"id":312058,"date":"2024-11-29T09:59:27","date_gmt":"2024-11-29T14:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=312058"},"modified":"2024-11-29T09:59:27","modified_gmt":"2024-11-29T14:59:27","slug":"raiders-vs-chiefs-week-13-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/raiders-vs-chiefs-week-13-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Raiders vs. Chiefs Week 13 prop picks: Bowers, Mahomes should shine on Black Friday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders on Black Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> This game looks like a blowout on paper, but I&#8217;m still backing a pair of Raiders \u2014 Brock Bowers and Ameer Abdullah \u2014 to make some noise. On the Chiefs&#8217; side, Patrick Mahomes is on a hot streak right now that&#8217;s worth tailing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Raiders vs. Chiefs prop picks for Week 13 below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Raiders vs. Chiefs prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:101965\">Embed: #101965<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Bowers over 6.5 receptions (-103)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bowers should be Aidan O&#8217;Connell&#8217;s safety blanket today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs rank No. 8 in scoring defence and No. 4 in total defence, posing a daunting matchup for an inexperienced quarterback taking the reins on a short week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that&#8217;s where Bowers comes in. The rookie tight end is performing well beyond his years, commanding the NFL&#8217;s fifth-highest target share since Week 5 (29.8%), per Fantasy Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why did I pick Week 5 as the starting point? That aligns with the first of three consecutive games in which O&#8217;Connell saw some or all of the action as Vegas&#8217; quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out Bowers&#8217; production in Weeks 5-7:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>at Broncos: 8 catches, 97 yards, 1 TD (12 targets)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>vs. Steelers: 9 catches, 71 yards (10 targets)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>at Rams: 10 catches, 93 yards (14 targets)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>O&#8217;Connell returned to the bench and Bowers&#8217; targets diminished in the following two weeks. He only had five catches against the Chiefs in Week 8 &#8230; but to be fair, he only saw five targets in that game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All told, Bowers is averaging 7.7 receptions on 10.7 targets in his past seven games. He&#8217;s the best weapon the Raiders have, and AOC should look to him consistently.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The Chiefs have allowed the most receptions per game (6.3) and yards per game (72.5) to opposing tight ends this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mahomes over 249.5 passing yards (-114):<\/strong> The Chiefs are 13-point home favourites, so this might not seem like an ideal game script for Mahomes to air it out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he&#8217;s found a groove in recent weeks that I believe makes this number playable. Here are Mahomes&#8217; numbers over his past five games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>256.8 yards\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>260+ yards in 4\/5 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>12 TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3 INTs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>71.7% completion rate<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It just so happens that DeAndre Hopkins joined the Chiefs five games ago, and I don&#8217;t view that as a coincidence. This strong recent run also includes a 262-yard performance for Mahomes against the Raiders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Abdullah anytime TD (+240):<\/strong> Las Vegas is a hefty underdog and isn&#8217;t likely to score a lot of points. But at this price, I&#8217;m digging the opportunity for Abdullah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>With Zamir White ruled out and Alexander Mattison listed as questionable \u2014 after limited practices throughout the week \u2014 Abdullah is set up for hefty involvement. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He saw a 90% snap share last week and out-snapped Mattison in the previous two games that they were both on the field.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Abdullah has always been more of a scatback than a between-the-tackles runner, so he should continue to get touches even if the Chiefs run up a big lead. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week, his first of the year as a starter, Abdullah turned 13 touches into 65 yards and a touchdown. He had two carries in the red zone and one target inside the 10-yard line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 9:29 a.m. ET 11\/29\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders on Black Friday. The pregame narrative: This game looks like a blowout on paper, but I&#8217;m still backing a pair of Raiders \u2014 Brock Bowers and Ameer Abdullah \u2014 to make some noise. On the Chiefs&#8217; side, Patrick Mahomes is on a hot [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":312068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-312058","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Raiders vs. Chiefs prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 13 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Raiders vs. Chiefs prop picks for Week 13. 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