{"id":312020,"date":"2024-11-29T11:29:16","date_gmt":"2024-11-29T16:29:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=312020"},"modified":"2024-11-29T11:29:22","modified_gmt":"2024-11-29T16:29:22","slug":"nfl-week-13-prop-bets-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-13-prop-bets-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NFL Week 13 prop bets: A.J. Brown, Mike Evans have exploitable matchups"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;m locked into Sunday&#8217;s 4 p.m. slate for my three NFL prop bets of the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: A.J. Brown is a menace with a favourable matchup, so the over on his receiving yards looks like a strong play. Elsewhere, Taysom Hill should stay involved for the New Orleans Saints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best NFL Week 13 prop bets for the upcoming games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 13 prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL Week 13 betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:101977\">Embed: #101977<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Brown over 90.5 receiving yards (-115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Philadelphia Eagles run the ball more often (and arguably more successfully) than any other team. But I&#8217;m not sure that strategy will work on the road against the Baltimore Ravens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore allows the fewest yards per rush (3.5), and its defence ranks second in rush success rate (31.6%), per RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But for as adept as the Ravens are at stopping the run, they are a gettable group through the air. And that&#8217;s where Brown comes in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brown, coming off his second game of 100-plus yards in the past three weeks, is an elite big-play receiver who also sees plenty of volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Since Week 6, Brown leads the NFL with a 31.9% target share.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Brown&#8217;s 13.1 average depth of target is a career-high, per Rotowire.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>DeVonta Smith missed practice on Wednesday with a hamstring injury, so his status will be one to watch ahead of Sunday. If Smith is sidelined \u2014 or even limited \u2014 that&#8217;ll only enhance Brown&#8217;s stellar opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Baltimore has allowed the second-most yards per game to opposing WRs (185.8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hill over 62.5 rushing\/receiving yards (-114):<\/strong> Hill is a borderline position-less football player. He was drafted as a quarterback, is listed as a tight end and has six rushing TDs in his past five games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No matter what position he&#8217;s in, it&#8217;s clear he can still be a productive asset for the New Orleans Saints in Year 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prior to the Saints&#8217; Week 12 bye, Hill exploded for 188 scrimmage yards and three TDs. He now has 40-plus scrimmage yards in four straight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What&#8217;s more compelling to me is Hill&#8217;s usage in two weeks under new head coach Darren Rizzi. Hill, who worked with Rizzi for years in the special teams unit, might be a favourite in Rizzi&#8217;s system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hill is only averaging 7.4 touches on the season, but he has 21 touches in the past two games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mike Evans over 57.5 receiving yards (-114):<\/strong> A hamstring injury cost Evans a few games recently, but he returned in excellent form in Week 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Evans caught five of six targets for a team-high 68 yards last Sunday against the New York Giants.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He only had a 58% snap share, which is below his typical average of 70-85% and suggests he&#8217;ll see an uptick in usage this week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Evans has a fantastic matchup against a Carolina Panthers squad that ranks 32nd in points allowed and 30th in yards allowed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past five matchups against the Panthers (since 2021), Evans has averaged 115.2 yards and cashed this prop four times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on 11\/29\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m locked into Sunday&#8217;s 4 p.m. slate for my three NFL prop bets of the week. The pregame narrative: A.J. Brown is a menace with a favourable matchup, so the over on his receiving yards looks like a strong play. Elsewhere, Taysom Hill should stay involved for the New Orleans Saints. Check out the best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":312087,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-312020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 13 prop bets: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 13 prop bets. 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