{"id":311852,"date":"2024-11-28T13:03:20","date_gmt":"2024-11-28T18:03:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=311852"},"modified":"2024-11-29T09:07:21","modified_gmt":"2024-11-29T14:07:21","slug":"epl-matchday-13-picks-and-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/epl-matchday-13-picks-and-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"EPL Matchday 13 picks and predictions: Back Bournemouth, fade Man United"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Three clubs in the bottom half of the table are featured in my EPL Matchday 13 picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Bournemouth has lost its last two matches but I expect it to bounce back against Wolverhampton this Saturday. On Sunday, I like Everton to steal a point against a Manchester United side adapting to a new system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best EPL Matchday 13 picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EPL Matchday 13 picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full Premier League betting markets<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet:<\/strong> Bournemouth draw no bet (-127)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #101892<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I believe there is value in picking the Cherries to take care of business at Wolverhampton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bournemouth suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to red-hot Brighton in its recent fixture but pulled off stunning upsets against Arsenal and Manchester City at home to long ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wolves, luckily, are nowhere near the same tier as those sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

They come off an impressive 4-1 win at Fulham but were winless in their first 10 matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wolves struggle to defend set pieces, conceding a league-worst nine goals on set-piece play. Bournemouth has whipped in the third-most crosses (274) and has scored four goals on set pieces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Antoine Semenyo is suspended after picking up a fifth yellow card last weekend but the Cherries have quality forwards in Evanilson and Marcus Tavernier alongside Lewis Cook in the midfield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Off consecutive losses, Andoni Iraola’s men should be heavily motivated to grab points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> In its last meeting with Wolverhampton, Bournemouth secured a 1-0 victory at Molineaux Stadium despite falling to 10 men in the final 21 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Everton +1 (-107): <\/strong>I will step in front of the “new manager bump” and bet against Manchester United.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Ruben Amorim’s debut as United manager, the team generated a measly 0.80 expected goals (xG) in the 1-1 draw against bottom-feeder Ipswich Town.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It lost the xG battle and was outshot 6-to-4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The transition from Erik ten Hag’s 4-2-3-1 setup to Amorim’s 3-4-2-1 is a drastic one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

United do not possess the wing-backs capable of defending in a low block and carrying the ball out in transition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Everton struggles to create scoring chances, but it often keeps its matches tight and low-scoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Everton has not lost by more than a goal since the 4-0 defeat at Tottenham on Aug. 24, drawing Newcastle, Fulham and Brentford in recent months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brentford to win first half (+116)<\/strong>:<\/strong> The Bees are an ultra-aggressive squad who love to attack early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brentford owns the league’s best home record (5-1-0) and the full-time odds reflect that at -141, so I’ll take a different approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Its 14 first-half goals are tied with Manchester City for the league lead and Leicester sports the worst first-half goal differential (-8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bees have scored 16 of their 22 goals from open play and Leicester has allowed the second-most open-play goals (17) in the Premiership<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Foxes sacked manager Steve Cooper on Sunday and appointed Ruud van Nisterooy on Wednesday. However, the club is rolling with first-team coach Ben Dawson for this match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To fade a relegation-contending team without a manager at plus-odds, this seems too good to pass on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 11:24 p.m. on 11\/28\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Three clubs in the bottom half of the table are featured in my EPL Matchday 13 picks. The pregame narrative: Bournemouth has lost its last two matches but I expect it to bounce back against Wolverhampton this Saturday. On Sunday, I like Everton to steal a point against a Manchester United side adapting to a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":312061,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[241],"tags":[619,229],"class_list":["post-311852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-premier-league","tag-epl-betting","tag-soccer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEPL Matchday 13 picks, predictions and best bets | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our EPL Matchday 13 picks and predictions. 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