{"id":311835,"date":"2024-11-27T16:29:46","date_gmt":"2024-11-27T21:29:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=311835"},"modified":"2024-11-28T10:38:07","modified_gmt":"2024-11-28T15:38:07","slug":"bears-vs-lions-week-13-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bears-vs-lions-week-13-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Bears vs. Lions Week 13 Thanksgiving Day SGP predictions: Back Chicago, Williams at +340"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions kick off Thursday&#8217;s Thanksgiving festivities with a divisional showdown in the Motor City. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Chicago has lost five straight but I&#8217;m backing it to cover a heavily teased-up spread. I&#8217;m also taking the over on a Caleb Williams passing prop and Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving line. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my Bears vs. Lions same-game parlay predictions for Week 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs. Lions same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Parlay: Bears +14.5 + Williams over 226.5 passing yards + St. Brown over 69.5 receiving yards  (+340)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:101818\">Embed: #101818<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Bears +14.5<\/strong> (-220):<\/strong> With the way these teams are trending, conventional wisdom would point toward a Lions blowout victory at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chicago has lost five straight with a -45 point differential<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Detroit has won nine straight with a +175 point differential <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the Bears have shown some fight in the last two weeks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They almost<em> <\/em>beat the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings but choked to lose those contests by a combined four points. They&#8217;re also 9-2 against this line on the season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Lions are a wagon but are still 4-7 against a -14.5 line this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Three of those ATS wins came against Anthony Richardson, Mac Jones and Mason Rudolph (Dak Prescott, too).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Williams hasn&#8217;t been on a Rookie of the Year trajectory but he&#8217;s played better lately, throwing for 571 yards in the last two games with a 70.5% completion rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This should be much closer than people expect. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Williams over 226.5 passing yards<\/strong><\/strong> <strong>(-113):<\/strong> Williams hasn&#8217;t cleared this line often despite going over it in the last two games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He&#8217;s 4-7 against it this year while landing on exactly 226 yards once. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But this should be a good spot for the No. 1 overall pick to stay hot. Just because I think the Bears will cover +14.5 doesn&#8217;t mean I think the Lions&#8217; offence will fall asleep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Detroit will score, meaning Williams should be in a pass-first role for most of the game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Lions&#8217; defence allows the eighth-most passing yards per game (227.2) while ranking second in RBSDM.com&#8217;s defensive EPA per dropback for that very reason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Standout Detroit corner Carlton Davis III has also been ruled out with an injury, while Chicago&#8217;s Keenan Allen is beginning to find his footing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That all bodes will for Williams&#8217; passing total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>St. Brown over 69.5 receiving yards<\/strong><\/strong> <strong>(-120):<\/strong> On the other side of the ball, I expect St. Brown to have a statement game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s been a relatively quiet year for the standout WR after posting 1,515 receiving yards last season (third-most in the NFL). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">St. Brown is on pace for 1,154 this time around and has only recorded 70-plus receiving yards four times. But he&#8217;s been in the ballpark of this number often, averaging 76.3 receiving yards across his last six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago&#8217;s secondary has fallen by the wayside since its Week 7 bye, with the team ranking 23rd in defensive EPA per dropback during its five-game losing streak. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">St. Brown still commands a 28.5% target share, per RotoWire, which is elite among all receivers and tight ends. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 3:40 p.m. on 11\/27\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions kick off Thursday&#8217;s Thanksgiving festivities with a divisional showdown in the Motor City. The pregame narrative: Chicago has lost five straight but I&#8217;m backing it to cover a heavily teased-up spread. I&#8217;m also taking the over on a Caleb Williams passing prop and Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving line. Check [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":311862,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-311835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bears vs. Lions predictions: Week 13 SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Bears vs. Lions SGP predictions for Week 13. 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