{"id":311834,"date":"2024-11-27T15:56:46","date_gmt":"2024-11-27T20:56:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=311834"},"modified":"2024-11-27T15:56:46","modified_gmt":"2024-11-27T20:56:46","slug":"nba-prop-bets-november-27-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-november-27-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Nov. 27: Jokic has value from 3-point range, fade Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Warriors"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">Tonight&#8217;s NBA prop bets aren&#8217;t hurting for star power, as I&#8217;m targeting Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and OG Anunoby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Gilgeous-Alexander prop is a fade in Wednesday&#8217;s nightcap against the Golden State Warriors, but I like overs for the other two players. Jokic draws a juicy matchup despite being on the road and Anunoby is on fire as a shooter right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets on Nov. 27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:101807\">Embed: #101807<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Jokic over 1.5 threes (-107)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic draws a dream matchup on Wednesday against the Utah Jazz. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both the Denver Nuggets and the Jazz rank in the top 12 in pace, which is part of why this game has a solid scoring upside. It&#8217;s tied for the fourth-highest projected total (229.5 points) on the 14-game slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking specifically at Utah, it&#8217;s a pretty grim picture on the defensive side of things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Jazz rank 29th in defensive rating and 27th in opponent points\/game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Opposing centres are averaging 27.4 PPG (second-most) and 2.3 threes (most) vs. Utah.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In general, opponents are averaging the third-most made 3s (14.6) and attempted 3s (40.0) per game against Utah.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic doesn&#8217;t attempt a ton of 3s, which is why this line is so low despite his staggering 52.7% 3-point percentage on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, it&#8217;s a bit too low in my opinion. During a year in which Jokic is shouldering more of the scoring load than ever before, he&#8217;s attempting a career-high 4.2 threes per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That still isn&#8217;t a huge volume, but his efficiency has made up for it. And with such a gem of a matchup tonight, I think somewhere around four to six attempted 3s is reasonable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic, who fired seven 3s apiece in back-to-back games, has cashed this bet eight times in 13 matchups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: On Nov. 2, Jokic went 3-for-4 from beyond the arc against the Jazz. He had 27 points and 16 rebounds in just 30 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Anunoby over 23.5 points\/rebounds (-121):<\/strong> Anunoby is on a tear as a scorer right now, and not just because of his career-high 40 points last time out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past nine games, Anunoby has cashed this points\/rebounds line six times on points alone. In that span, he&#8217;s averaging 23.2 points and 6.1 rebounds (29.3 PR).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight&#8217;s Knicks vs. Mavericks game has the second-highest projected total on the schedule (233.5 points), and this looks like a good way to buy in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, the Mavericks are allowing the seventh-most rebounds per game to opposing power forwards (11.4), per Betting Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Gilgeous-Alexander under 1.5 threes (+116)<\/strong>: It isn&#8217;t fun to fade a red-hot star, but I think there&#8217;s a practical argument for taking the under on SGA&#8217;s 3s prop tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gilgeous-Alexander is a respectable 3-point shooter, but he&#8217;s far from the best the Thunder have to offer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, among six OKC players averaging 3.5 or more 3-point attempts per game, his 35.5% scoring clip ranks last.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight&#8217;s matchup is as bad as it gets for Gilgeous-Alexander, who went 0-for-2 from deep and 6-for-17 from the field when he last faced the Warriors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SGA is averaging 1.3 threes on 3.4 attempts in his past eight games vs. Golden State (since January 2023).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Warriors allow the lowest 3PT% (31.8) and the fifth-fewest made 3s per game (12.5).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made a 9:07 a.m. ET on 11\/27\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tonight&#8217;s NBA prop bets aren&#8217;t hurting for star power, as I&#8217;m targeting Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and OG Anunoby. The pregame narrative: The Gilgeous-Alexander prop is a fade in Wednesday&#8217;s nightcap against the Golden State Warriors, but I like overs for the other two players. Jokic draws a juicy matchup despite being on the road [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":311855,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-311834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Nov. 27: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for November 27. 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