{"id":311757,"date":"2024-11-27T13:40:45","date_gmt":"2024-11-27T18:40:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=311757"},"modified":"2024-11-27T13:40:45","modified_gmt":"2024-11-27T18:40:45","slug":"dolphins-vs-packers-week-13-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dolphins-vs-packers-week-13-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolphins vs. Packers Week 13 TNF same-game parlay predictions: Bet on Green Bay to win Thanksgiving Thursday nighter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Thursday’s U.S. Thanksgiving tripleheader concludes at Lambeau Field with a matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Miami Dolphins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Green Bay is 6-1 in its past seven games, and I like the home team to win a chilly prime-time showdown. In the prop market, Josh Jacobs is a logical anytime TD play, while both tight ends (Tucker Kraft and Jonnu Smith) should make their mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Dolphins vs. Packers same-game parlay predictions for a special Thanksgiving edition of Thursday Night Football in Week 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dolphins vs. Packers same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Packers moneyline + Jacobs anytime TD + Kraft over 24.5 receiving yards + Smith over 39.5 receiving yards (+500)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #101748<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Packers moneyline (-177):<\/strong> After several nail-biting wins \u2014 including one in Chicago that should’ve been a loss \u2014 the Packers needed a statement victory. They got one last week, treating a home crowd to a 38-10 drubbing of the San Francisco 49ers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Niners were beaten up and haven’t risen to expectations this year, but it was still a commendable week for the Packers. Green Bay dominated the clock and ran the ball at will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Up next is a Miami squad that has won three games in a row, though each of those games was against a sub-.500 opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Dolphins are 0-4 against winning teams this season. And of course, Tua Tagovailoa is carrying a cold weather stigma into the Frozen Tundra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to Joe Schad of the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa is 0-7 in games that fall below 40 degrees Fahrenheit. It’ll be below-freezing \u2014 and potentially snowy \u2014 in Green Bay on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Jacobs anytime TD (-182):<\/strong> I called for a Jacobs touchdown last week in light of Green Bay’s red zone woes. He responded with three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Packers entered Week 12 with a disastrous 48.7% TD rate on red zone drives, and my thought was that they weren’t relying on Jacobs enough in the most important part of the field. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Well, that changed last Sunday. Jacobs saw a season-high seven carries in the red zone, per Rotowire \u2014 including five inside the five-yard line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jacobs has six TDs over his past four games, with 11 carries inside the 10-yard line in that span. Keep feeding one of the NFL’s most productive running backs and good things should happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kraft over 24.5 receiving yards (-195):<\/strong> Romeo Doubs, the Packers’ top receiving target, missed practice on Tuesday and Wednesday because of a concussion and seems unlikely to play. That’ll open up more opportunities for other pass-catchers, and Kraft has my eye.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kraft only has three targets over his past two games, but he’s still averaging 3.8 targets \u2014 and 36.5 yards \u2014 on the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, the second-year tight end caught both targets for 26 yards and a score. He now has 25-plus yards in four of his past five games, with three TDs in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miami has allowed the third-fewest yards to WRs this year, so Kraft could pose some matchup advantages for Green Bay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Smith over 39.5 receiving yards (-175):<\/strong> Kraft isn’t the only tight end worth targeting on Thanksgiving night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not often you see a journeyman tight end break out in his age-29 season, but that’s exactly what’s happening with Smith. He’s enjoying career-high marks in …<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Yards\/game (48.6)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Catches\/game (4.4)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • First downs (33)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Target share (18.5%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Smith has a higher target share than Jaylen Waddle. If that was on your 2024 NFL bingo card, hats off to you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    It’s been well-earned, though, as Smith has turned his outsized opportunity into results. He has 40-plus receiving yards in six of his past seven games, clearing the 60-yard mark four times in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Picks made at 12:40 p.m. on 11\/27\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Thursday’s U.S. Thanksgiving tripleheader concludes at Lambeau Field with a matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Miami Dolphins. The pregame narrative: Green Bay is 6-1 in its past seven games, and I like the home team to win a chilly prime-time showdown. In the prop market, Josh Jacobs is a logical anytime TD […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":311806,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-311757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDolphins vs. Packers predictions: TNF Week 13 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dolphins vs. Packers SGP predictions for TNF Week 13. 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