{"id":309878,"date":"2024-11-20T13:08:56","date_gmt":"2024-11-20T18:08:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=309878"},"modified":"2024-11-20T13:09:24","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T18:09:24","slug":"steelers-vs-browns-week-12-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/steelers-vs-browns-week-12-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Steelers vs. Browns Week 12 TNF prop picks: Jeudy, Harris both have chance to shine on Thursday Night Football"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to face the Cleveland Browns in an all-AFC-North instalment of Thursday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Jerry Jeudy seems to have gelled right away with Cleveland&#8217;s new starting quarterback, and I like Jeudy to continue hauling in passes. Elsewhere, look for at least one chunk play from Cedric Tillman and for Najee Harris to cash in on ample red zone opportunities. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Steelers vs. Browns prop picks for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 21.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Steelers vs. Browns prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:100907\">Embed: #100907<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Jeudy over 3.5 receptions (-127)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jameis Winston has thrown 40-plus passes in all three of his starts this year, which has led to a healthy target share for pretty much every Cleveland receiver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If he keeps that up, it&#8217;ll be great news for Jeudy and Co. But even if the volume comes back to Earth a bit, I like the Browns&#8217; WR1 to still see ample looks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jeudy has been Cleveland&#8217;s steadiest receiver with Winston under centre while also flashing his big-play ability. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In each of the past three games, Jeudy has &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>8+ targets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5+ catches<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>70+ yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week, he exploded for 142 yards on six catches, highlighted by an 89-yard touchdown. That type of effort helps a receiver stay on a quarterback&#8217;s good side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh has one of the NFL&#8217;s top defences, ranking No. 2 in scoring and No. 8 in yards allowed. But the Steelers&#8217; best work is in stopping the ground game, not the aerial attack. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Steelers allow the 18th-most passing yards per game on the 12th-most yards per attempt. By contrast, they&#8217;re fourth in rush yards per game and fifth in yards per rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Look for Winston and the Browns to continue sending a high volume of targets toward Jeudy in an effort to crack a tough Pittsburgh D.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Jeudy leads the Browns in targets (72) and yards (560). He&#8217;s averaging 3.9 catches per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tillman longest reception &#8211; Over 18.5 yards (-114):<\/strong> While I like Jeudy as a volume play for Cleveland, I view Tillman as more of a home run hitter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tillman only caught three of eight targets last week, but two of them went for 20+ yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He now has four catches of 20+ yards in three weeks with Winston at QB<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s clear the Browns are scheming some deep targets for Tillman, a second-year wideout from Tennessee who was drafted in the third round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In three straight games before last week, Tillman saw 115-plus air yards each game, per Player Profiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Harris anytime TD (+100):<\/strong> Pittsburgh has two wins this year without scoring a touchdown, and Thursday&#8217;s over\/under (36.5 points) suggests another ugly game is in the offing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But if someone is going to score, it should be Harris. And at even-money odds, I&#8217;ll take that bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris only has three TDs this year, but they&#8217;ve all come in his past five games. And he&#8217;s had some fantastic red zone opportunities in that span:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>4.4 red zone rushes\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2+ carries inside the 10-yard line each game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1+ carries inside the 5-yard line each game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Browns&#8217; rush defence has been woeful this year, allowing 4.8 yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 14 TDs (29th). If the volume of top-quality carries persists, Harris should be able to capitalize.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 12:15 p.m. ET 11\/20\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to face the Cleveland Browns in an all-AFC-North instalment of Thursday Night Football. The pregame narrative: Jerry Jeudy seems to have gelled right away with Cleveland&#8217;s new starting quarterback, and I like Jeudy to continue hauling in passes. Elsewhere, look for at least one chunk play from Cedric [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":309938,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-309878","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Steelers vs. Browns prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 12 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Steelers vs. Browns prop picks for Week 12. 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