{"id":309499,"date":"2024-11-18T13:50:05","date_gmt":"2024-11-18T18:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=309499"},"modified":"2024-11-18T13:50:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T18:50:05","slug":"nba-prop-bets-november-18","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-november-18\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Nov. 18: Target red-hot De&#8217;Aaron Fox and Houston&#8217;s Fred VanVleet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">De&#8217;Aaron Fox is scorching and is my top target on the NBA prop market on Monday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Fox has scored over 100 points in his last two games and sets up well for another massive night. I also have plays on Franz Wagner and Fred VanVleet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Fox over 2.5 threes (+130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Backing Fox seems prudent and this is the best way to do it as far as I\u2019m concerned.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Kings guard is coming off a 49-point game after dropping a career-high 60.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DeMar DeRozan remains out and Domantas Sabonis is doubtful, meaning Fox\u2019s volume should remain huge. He\u2019s taken 65 combined shots over his last two games and 30 attempts from the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To guard against a potentially poor shooting night, I\u2019m shying away from his enormous 33.5 points line to target this big value play.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s to love about it? How about this:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Atlanta has the worst opponent 3-point percentage (39.4%) in the NBA.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>No team allows more attempts from beyond the arc (41.9\/game).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Fox has cleared this in two straight and went 4-of-6 from distance earlier this season vs. ATL.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a plus matchup for the 26-year-old against the NBA\u2019s 22nd-ranked defence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta has particularly handled point guards poorly, surrendering the fourth-most points to the position and the most 3-pointers, per Betting Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: The game total is 236.5, the highest of tonight\u2019s eight NBA games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Wagner over 33.5 points\/assists (-118)<\/strong>: The Orlando Magic forward has been going off since star Paolo Banchero went down with an oblique injury.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wagner\u2019s scoring is up (30.6 PPG over his last three) and he&#8217;s been a big distributor, too.&nbsp;He has at least six assists in all but one game without Banchero.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 23-year-old has cleared this in five of his last six games. He landed on 30 the one contest he fell short, but was kept to 29 minutes in a blowout win.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orlando is a road favourite against the Phoenix Suns, who are down Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal and on a back-to-back.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a great opportunity for Wagner to beat up on Phoenix, which has allowed 120-plus points in three of its last five games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>VanVleet over 14.5 points (-130)<\/strong>: Damian Lillard (concussion) is expected back for the Milwaukee Bucks, which is great news for opposing point guards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Only two teams allow PGs to score more than the Bucks, who are a disappointing 4-9 and even worse with Lillard in the lineup (2-8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lillard makes the Bucks&#8217; offence better, no question, but he&#8217;s not a net positive because of what he gives back on defence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Milwaukee is -8.4 points worse per 100 possessions with Lillard on the court, according to Basketball Reference&#8217;s on\/off numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Houston Rockets play for the second consecutive night but were able to limit workloads in a 36-point win. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>VanVleet struggled badly to start the season but has picked things up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Season-high 28 points last night<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>15-plus points in three straight<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5-2 vs. this line in last seven<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>16.3 PPG in Nov. (12.6 in Oct.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s a volume 3-point shooter and threat from deep, and Atlanta is the only team that allows opponents to shoot better from long range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:38 p.m. ET on 11\/18\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>De&#8217;Aaron Fox is scorching and is my top target on the NBA prop market on Monday night. The pregame narrative: Fox has scored over 100 points in his last two games and sets up well for another massive night. I also have plays on Franz Wagner and Fred VanVleet. Check out the best NBA prop [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":309437,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[83,12,208],"class_list":["post-309499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba","tag-nba-betting","tag-nba-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Nov. 18: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for November 18. 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