{"id":308796,"date":"2024-11-17T09:08:22","date_gmt":"2024-11-17T14:08:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=308796"},"modified":"2024-11-17T09:08:22","modified_gmt":"2024-11-17T14:08:22","slug":"bengals-vs-chargers-week-11-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bengals-vs-chargers-week-11-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Bengals vs. Chargers Week 11 same-game parlay predictions: Target McConkey, Burrow on Sunday Night Football"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A very important matchup for AFC playoff implications is going down on Sunday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) are sitting in a wild-card spot, while the Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) are lurking on the fringe. I like Cincy on an alt spread in my +370 SGP to go with prop bets on Joe Burrow, J.K. Dobbins and Ladd McConkey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Bengals vs. Chargers same-game parlay predictions for Sunday Night Football on Nov. 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bengals vs. Chargers predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Bengals +3.5 + Dobbins over 2.5 receptions + Burrow over 229.5 pass yards + McConkey over 39.5 rec. yards (+370)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #100577<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bengals +3.5 (-167):<\/strong> SoFi Stadium doesn’t have a reputation for being a tough environment for visiting teams, and I expect Cincinnati to turn in another solid road showing on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bengals are 5-0 ATS on the road and 3-2 straight up. Both losses came by exactly one point (at Baltimore, at Kansas City).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All six of L.A.’s wins this season have come by at least a touchdown, but the Chargers have yet to defeat an above-.500 team. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some hard luck has the Bengals on the wrong side of .500 too, but they should provide one of the Chargers’ toughest tests to date.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cincinnati is 13-4 ATS as a road underdog since 2021, per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dobbins over 2.5 receptions (-130):<\/strong> This is my favourite prop bet<\/a> for Sunday Night Football, so I’m doubling down on it in the SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When Gus Edwards returned for the Chargers last week, he immediately saw a notable workload out of the backfield. But he’s not a threat to steal targets from Dobbins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This season, Dobbins has 28 targets. The rest of L.A.’s RB room has combined for four.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dobbins is averaging 2.7 receptions per game this season and rarely blows by this number, but he’s still clearing it pretty reliably.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The first-year Charger has three or more catches in six of nine games \u2014 including four of five with Edwards active.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Go to Bengals vs. Chargers betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Burrow over 229.5 passing yards (-335):<\/strong> If the Bengals were having a better season in the win column, you’d hear Burrow’s name more often in the MVP conversation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The fifth-year quarterback paces the NFL in passing yards, completions, attempts and TDs. If only he could play defence, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Burrow is averaging 267.2 pass yards per game and has cashed this over in seven of 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Chargers’ defence ranks No. 2 in EPA per dropback, which is part of the reason I teased Burrow’s total way down. But with a healthy tandem of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, this shouldn’t be a problem for Cincy’s QB1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

McConkey over 39.5 receiving yards (-275):<\/strong> Though he’s rarely been explosive, McConkey has been impressively steady throughout his rookie season in L.A.<\/p>\n\n\n\n