{"id":308269,"date":"2024-11-14T09:43:49","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T14:43:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=308269"},"modified":"2024-11-14T15:47:22","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T20:47:22","slug":"commanders-vs-eagles-week-11-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-eagles-week-11-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Commanders vs. Eagles Week 11 TNF prop picks: Bet on Robinson, Hurts to rack up rush yards on Thursday Night Football"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The top spot in the NFC East is up for grabs on Thursday Night Football as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Washington Commanders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Brian Robinson Jr. returns to the backfield for the Commanders, and I like his chances of clearing a rather modest yardage total. On the other side, Jalen Hurts is coming off a strong effort as a runner and looks like a solid bet to make noise in the ground game, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks for Thursday Night Football on Nov. 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:100236\">Embed: #100236<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Robinson over 44.5 rushing yards (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Betting on a player who&#8217;s coming off an injury-related absence can be tricky. But I see some positives in Robinson&#8217;s situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Robinson (hamstring) practiced all week, logging limited sessions on Monday and Tuesday before turning in a full practice yesterday.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He missed a game earlier this season due to a knee injury, and in his return, Robinson rushed for 71 yards on 12 carries.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Initially, Robinson wasn&#8217;t expected to miss any time due to his hamstring issue. But the Commanders made him a late scratch in Week 9 (at Giants) and held him out last Sunday against the Steelers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, while his teammates grind through a short week, Robinson should be as fresh and rested as anyone on the field. He&#8217;s been the Commanders&#8217; best tailback when healthy, so they shouldn&#8217;t be shy about giving him touches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aside from the Week 5 matchup in which he sustained a knee injury, Robinson has seen 12-plus carries in every game. If that type of workload comes his way again, 45-plus rushing yards should be well within reach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington&#8217;s offensive identity is built on its run game. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having a dual-threat quarterback like Jayden Daniels certainly doesn&#8217;t hurt, as his ability to tuck and run gives defences an extra element to worry about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Commanders rank fifth in the NFL in run play percentage (50.5%), per Team Rankings. Against an Eagles team that ranks a mediocre 13th in yards allowed per rush (4.4), I think Robinson will have enough volume to cash this bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Robinson is averaging 65.9 rush yards per game on a career-high 4.6 yards per attempt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hurts over 39.5 rushing yards (-122):<\/strong> Daniel Jones and Lamar Jackson have both cleared the 40-rushing-yard mark against the Commanders this season, and I think Jalen Hurts will be next up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some folks were concerned last week about a possible ankle injury for Hurts. But he quelled those concerns easily by rushing seven times for 56 yards and two touchdowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hurts has rushed at least seven times in all nine games this season, which gives him a solid rushing floor. He&#8217;s averaging 42.0 yards on 10.3 carries per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Commanders have one of the most suspect run defences in the NFL. They allow 4.9 yards\/rush (29th in the NFL) and rank 27th in defensive EPA per rush, per RBSDM.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 10:16 a.m. ET 11\/14\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The top spot in the NFC East is up for grabs on Thursday Night Football as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Washington Commanders. The pregame narrative: Brian Robinson Jr. returns to the backfield for the Commanders, and I like his chances of clearing a rather modest yardage total. On the other side, Jalen Hurts is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":308297,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-308269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 11 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Commanders vs. Eagles prop picks for Week 11. 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