{"id":307830,"date":"2024-11-12T10:38:20","date_gmt":"2024-11-12T15:38:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=307830"},"modified":"2024-11-12T10:38:20","modified_gmt":"2024-11-12T15:38:20","slug":"maple-leafs-picks-vs-senators-november-12-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/maple-leafs-picks-vs-senators-november-12-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Maple Leafs picks vs. Senators Nov. 12: Matthew Knies continues to be productive in increased role"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators clash for the first time this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The Battle of Ontario is on and Toronto has been the better team this season. I&#8217;m betting on the Leafs to win a low-scoring game while backing Matthew Knies to score a point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out our Maple Leafs picks vs. Senators for the game on Nov. 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Maple Leafs picks vs. Senators<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/event\/1021141548\">NHL betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:100056\">Embed: #100056<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Maple Leafs moneyline (-136)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto is playing some inspiring hockey right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Under new coach Craig Berube, the Leafs are starting to click and have a 5-1-1 record in their last seven games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His team is also playing really good defence right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Leafs allow the fifth-fewest goals per game (2.56)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>They kill penalties at the eighth-highest rate (83.9%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Toronto has allowed four goals over the last four games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Leafs go with a rotating goalie approach it should be Anthony Stolarz getting the call tonight. He&#8217;s been fantastic this season but we&#8217;ll touch more on that later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Toronto is 7-2-0 at home this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 6 goals (-115):<\/strong> I feel good about both starters tonight but let&#8217;s get back to Stolarz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lifetime backup had his opportunity to show his stuff as a starter with Joseph Woll sidelined and he impressed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stolarz has a 2.00 GAA and .930 SV%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s stopped the fifth most goals above expected (7.0) this season, per Money Puck.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s allowed just three goals across his last three starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Linus Ullmark is expected to start for the Sens and although he hasn&#8217;t been good this season (.890 SV%), the Swede has never finished a season with a SV% below .905 and he&#8217;s a former Vezina winner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ottawa is also a good defensive team, limiting opponents to the sixth-fewest shots per game (27.2).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Knies to record a point (-134):<\/strong> With Auston Matthews doubtful to return to the lineup tonight, Knies should continue to have an increased role.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Winger is getting a career-high 17:58 of ice time per game and that just keeps increasing. He&#8217;s played at least 18:30 in eight straight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a result, he has 10 points in 16 games. Knies is also skating with the first powerplay unit in Matthews&#8217; absence and he has shown positive results scoring three PP points in his last three games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s playing on the first line with the red-hot Mitch Marner and I love his value to get on the scoresheet tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NHL picks made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 11\/12\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators clash for the first time this season. The pregame narrative: The Battle of Ontario is on and Toronto has been the better team this season. I&#8217;m betting on the Leafs to win a low-scoring game while backing Matthew Knies to score a point. Check out our Maple Leafs [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":307843,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[8],"class_list":["post-307830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl","tag-nhl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Maple Leafs picks vs. Senators: Nov. 12 | Northstar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Maple Leafs picks vs. Senators for Nov. 12. 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