Best bet: Williams over 19.5 points (-125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nThe Thunder have lost two of three since starting 7-0 and suffered a massive blow in their latest defeat. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Sophomore star Chet Holmgren is expected to miss at least two months with a hip fracture. It\u2019s an impossible hole for OKC to fill, though certain teammates can benefit from his absence. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
I like Williams to assume an even larger role on the offensive end, making him a worthy target at this line on a back-to-back against the Los Angeles Clippers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The 23-year-old averaged 19.1 points in 71 games last season. And his scoring output is identical through 10 contests this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Every one of those games came alongside Holmgren, who combined with Williams to form the top secondary scoring options on the team behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Williams \u2014 a career 52.8% shooter from the field \u2014 gets even a couple of extra shots, it\u2019s a safe bet that his PPG average can surpass the 20-point mark. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Key stat<\/strong>: Williams has dropped 20-plus points in three of his last four games and in six of 10 on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\nQuick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Zubac over 28.5 points\/rebounds (-114)<\/strong>: Sticking with the Thunder\/Clippers game, I\u2019m targeting Los Angeles’ big 7-foot centre. <\/p>\n\n\n\nZubac has been excellent to start the season and has career highs, through 10 games, in the following categories: <\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Minutes (35.0)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Points (16.4)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
- Rebounds (12.7)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s one of five players averaging at least 12 boards and only six centres are scoring more than him. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
An undersized Thunder team is even smaller without Holmgren, which could lead to a huge rebounding night for Zubac. He already has three games with 15-plus rebounds and had 12 when he faced OKC at the start of the month. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zubac only had a combined 21 points\/rebounds that game but was held to a season-low 28 minutes in a 13-point loss. He’s 5-4 against this line in his other nine contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Look for a bounce-back effort against a tired and limited Thunder team, which is 29th in the NBA in rebounding rate. The Clippers are third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alvarado over 15.5 points (-114):<\/strong> The hobbled New Orleans Pelicans are without CJ McCollum, Zion Williamson and Dejounte Murray.<\/p>\n\n\n\nAnd Brandon Ingram can’t provide all the scoring while they’re sidelined. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alvarado’s minutes have gone from sub-20 a night to 30-plus since McCollum went down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
He has topped this line in four of six games since entering the starting rotation and has scored 18-plus points in three straight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Alvarado has never been a huge scorer but he’s never had an opportunity like this. He’s been strong from the perimeter and should continue to produce out of necessity as long as he’s getting significant run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Pelicans get the Brooklyn Nets, who are in the bottom half of the league in defensive rating and have not been particularly strong against point guards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Picks made at 11:31 a.m. ET on 11\/11\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Monday’s NBA schedule features five games, all starting at 8 p.m. ET. The pregame narrative: I’m recommending bets on Jalen Williams and Ivica Zubac, whose teams square off, as well as a play on point guard Jose Alvarado. Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 11. NBA prop bets Go to full NBA […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":307689,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[83,12,208],"class_list":["post-307702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba","tag-nba-betting","tag-nba-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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