Best bet: Wembanyama over 22.5 points (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\nIt’s hard to get behind Wembanyama right now with the way he’s playing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The second-year phenom is averaging 17.7 points per game while shooting a dreadful 41.3% from the field. Nealy half of his 15.3 field goal attempts are coming from deep, which is a little puzzling considering his 7-foot-4 stature and even larger wingspan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
That said, I like Wemby’s chances of righting the ship tonight because Utah profiles as the type of team he can succeed against. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Jazz have the fourth-worst defensive rating in the NBA and allow the second-most points per game to centres, according to Betting Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If we want to get even more granular, they allow opponents to shoot 48.3% from the “deep midrange” and 38.1% from “non-corner threes”, according to Cleaning the Glass. That ranks 28th and 26th among all teams. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Those are two areas of the court that are very familiar to the San Antonio Spurs centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Key stat<\/strong>: Wembanyama takes 15% of his shots from the deep midrange (95th percentile among all NBA players) and 41% from non-corner threes (91st percentile). <\/p>\n\n\n\nQuick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Mobley over 15.5 points (-134):<\/strong> The biggest risk with this pick is blowout potential. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 13-point favourites at home and that could mean less run for Mobley.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThat said, the fourth-year power forward’s 23.7% usage rate is the highest of his career so far and he’s scoring at an efficient clip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mobley is averaging 17.9 points per game on 53.0% shooting. Most of that damage comes in the short midrange or at the rim, two areas where the Nets struggle to defend. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
He’s 6-5 against this line and came within a basket of clearing it in the other four contests. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
LaVine over 2.5 threes (-163):<\/strong> Two things to note: First, this is a lot of juice but I believe it’s worth it. And second, the shooting guard is listed as questionable so that will need to be monitored moving forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThe Atlanta Hawks’ defence is awful \u2014 full stop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It ranks 25th in defensive rating and dead last in opponent 3-point percentage (40.5). <\/p>\n\n\n\n
LaVine is attempting 8.0 threes a night and is connecting at a 45.8% clip. He just buried five triples against the Nets and had five against the Memphis Grizzlies two games before that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
If he suits up, this should be a breeze. And if not, a pivot to Colby White (9.0 3PA\/game, 39.5 3PT%) isn’t a bad option. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Picks made at 9:32 a.m. ET on 11\/09\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"I’m targeting a pair of big men and a shooting guard in Saturday’s NBA prop bets. The pregame narrative: Victor Wembanyama and Evan Mobley should run wild against the Utah Jazz and Brooklyn Nets tonight while Zach LaVine is a good bet to produce from deep. Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":307337,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-307363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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