Trail Blazers +8.5 (-225):<\/strong> Both teams sit at 3-5 heading into tonight’s game but I feel much better about Portland covering this number.<\/p>\n\n\n\nSan Antonio played last night and got smoked by the Houston Rockets on home court. Dating back to the start of last season, the Spurs are 3-11 when playing on no rest, which is the second-worst record in the NBA according to Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Their average point differential in those games is -11.4 and one of those losses was to the Trail Blazers in Portland. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
San Antonio is also missing two-fifths of last year’s starting rotation with Devin Vassell and Jeremy Sochan sidelined. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
New acquisition Harrison Barnes is averaging just 9.5 points per game and I don’t expect him to make much of an impact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Simons over 2.5 threes (-220):<\/strong> I backed Simons to clear his 21.5-point total in today’s NBA prop bets and will double-dip by adding a teased-down 3-point line to this SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThe Spurs are great at defending the interior because that’s where Victor Wembanyama lives, but are awful are shutting down the perimeter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
San Antonio allows opponents to shoot at the sixth-highest rate from beyond the arc (37.8%) in the NBA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Simons is shooting just 31.0% from deep this year but he’s still cleared this mark in four of eight games. Last year, he shot 38.5% from three and drained seven triples in his only game against the Spurs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Paul over 20.5 points and assists (-114):<\/strong> Paul is into his 20th season but I’m not worried about the veteran’s usage on a back-to-back.<\/p>\n\n\n\nHe only played 20 minutes in yesterday’s blowout loss and had cleared this mark in four straight games before that. And in San Antonio’s other back-to-back this season, he had 19 points and 10 assists against the Utah Jazz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Trail Blazers, much like the Spurs, excel in defending the paint but not the 3-point line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Paul’s floor as a passer is high so I think he’ll rack up helpers, but I also like his chances of providing some offence with Sochan and Vassell out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
NBA picks made at 10:47 a.m. on 11\/07\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The San Antonio Spurs host the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. The pregame narrative: San Antonio lost yesterday and I’m looking to fade it on a back-to-back. Prop bets on Chris Paul and Anfernee Simons round out this +275 SGP. Check out my Trail Blazers vs. Spurs same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 7. Trail Blazers vs. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":306994,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-306969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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