{"id":305899,"date":"2024-11-01T16:41:19","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T20:41:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=305899"},"modified":"2024-11-01T16:48:30","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T20:48:30","slug":"dolphins-vs-bills-week-9-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dolphins-vs-bills-week-9-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolphins vs. Bills Week 9 same-game parlay predictions: Back Bills to win, Kincaid to rack up catches"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Buffalo Bills look to put a greater divide between themselves and the rest of the AFC East this weekend as they battle the Miami Dolphins. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Buffalo won the first meeting between these teams with ease, and I suspect it’ll be another Bills win on Sunday. This +425 same-game parlay also includes prop bets on De’Von Achane and Dalton Kincaid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Dolphins vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions for Week 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dolphins vs. Bills same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Bills moneyline + Achane over 89.5 rushing\/receiving yards + Kincaid over 3.5 catches (+425)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #99073<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bills moneyline (-265):<\/strong> The Dolphins lost last week as home favourites in Tua Tagovailoa’s return, and things don’t get any easier this Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miami is up in Western New York to face a Bills team that dominates at home. Since the start of the 2022 season, Buffalo boasts an NFL-best home record (18-4) with a 12.8-point average victory margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oh, and Buffalo tends to beat Miami no matter where they’re playing. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With Josh Allen at quarterback, the Bills are 12-2 against the Dolphins. That includes a 31-10 thrashing in Miami back in September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Achane over 89.5 rush\/rec. yards (-113):<\/strong> Achane has averaged 6.9 yards per rush over his past three games. He’s also accrued 50-plus receiving yards in all three matchups with Tagovailoa. One way or another, I like his chances to rack up scrimmage yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Week 2, Achane turned a season-high 29 touches into 165 scrimmage yards against the Bills (96 rushing, 69 receiving). He’s hit the 100-scrimmage-yard mark three times this year, which unsurprisingly coincides with the three times Tagovailoa was under centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miami’s QB1 makes the offence legitimately dangerous, and Achane is a key piece of that. He has seven-plus targets in all three games with Tagovailoa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In three career matchups against the Bills, Achane has cashed this bet twice while averaging 115.3 scrimmage yards on 17.0 touches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kincaid over 3.5 catches (-159):<\/strong> Kincaid still hasn’t had any explosive game for the Bills yet this year, but I wouldn’t call it a sophomore slump. He’s been steadily involved and looks like a strong bet at this number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last year’s 25th overall pick has six-plus targets in five consecutive games, which should be plenty to hit on this prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The problem is that not all targets are made equally, and 27.3% of Kincaid’s targets this year were uncatchable, per Fantasy Pros. That’s tied for the third-highest rate among 22 tight ends with 30-plus targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Still, given that his average depth of target is only 7.6 yards, the level of difficulty for most of his targets shouldn’t be too high. So I’m chalking this up to some misfortune more than anything else.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If such a high target volume continues, Kincaid should be money at this number. He has four-plus catches in all three career games against Miami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 3:50 p.m. on 11\/01\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Buffalo Bills look to put a greater divide between themselves and the rest of the AFC East this weekend as they battle the Miami Dolphins. The pregame narrative: Buffalo won the first meeting between these teams with ease, and I suspect it’ll be another Bills win on Sunday. This +425 same-game parlay also includes […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":305926,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-305899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDolphins vs. Bills predictions: Week 9 SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dolphins vs. Bills SGP predictions for Week 9. 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