{"id":302386,"date":"2024-10-18T12:45:41","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T16:45:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=302386"},"modified":"2024-10-18T12:45:41","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T16:45:41","slug":"nfl-week-7-td-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-7-td-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Top NFL Week 7 TD picks: Bet on Chubb, St. Brown and Pickens to find the end zone"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Nick Chubb, Amon-Ra St. Brown and George Pickens are all featured in my top Week 7 TD picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: I like Chubb&#8217;s chances of scoring in his first game back from injury while St. Brown has a strong matchup to stay hot. On Sunday night, I am backing George Pickens to score after a change in starting quarterbacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best NFL Week 7 TD picks for this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 7 TD picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Chubb anytime TD (+135)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97711\">Embed: #97711<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Out with the new and in with the old&#8230; or something like that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jerome Ford is questionable after missing practice this week while Chubb is logging full practices and is on track to play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is no doubt a risky pick after Chubb missed over a year with two separate major knee injuries but this also may be the best value we get on the tailback for the rest of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chubb is a TD machine when healthy. He scored 34 times over his last 45 games played.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And he returns to face a bad Cincinnati Bengals defence. They allow the sixth-most rushing yards (146.0) and the eighth-most points (25.3) per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are obvious question marks about Chubb&#8217;s explosiveness but not his cardio. He&#8217;s been practicing since Week 5 and took his time to fully work back into game shape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m confident that Zac Taylor will call red zone plays for his star running back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Cincinnati has conceded seven rushing touchdowns this season (1.2\/game).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>St. Brown anytime TD (+104):<\/strong> St. Brown took a few weeks to find the end zone but has come away from three straight games with a score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97712\">Embed: #97712<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week&#8217;s opponent, the Minnesota Vikings, is 5-0 but has a hard time containing the pass. The Vikings allow the third-most receiving yards per game (263.0).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That means St. Brown has the potential to break free at any time. When the Lions reach the red zone, his stats are promising there, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit&#8217;s No. 1 receiver is tied for the NFL lead in red zone receptions (eight) and tied for second in receiving touchdowns (three).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pickens anytime TD (+185):<\/strong> With Russell Wilson expected to start, the value on Pickens has increased significantly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97713\">Embed: #97713<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wilson loves his No. 1 receivers as we saw in his time with the Denver Broncos. Last season, Courtland Sutton caught 10 of his 26 TD passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pickens is that alpha for the Steelers but Justin Fields isn&#8217;t a guy who&#8217;s going to throw deep balls. He&#8217;s a dual-threat QB who much prefers the safer reads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As such, four of his five TD passes were caught by tight ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s unusual for a wideout to lead his team in every receiving stat (by a wide margin) without finding the end zone and I expect that to change. So I&#8217;m taking the value here, even against the defensively stout New York Jets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 10:51 a.m. ET on 10\/18\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nick Chubb, Amon-Ra St. Brown and George Pickens are all featured in my top Week 7 TD picks. The pregame narrative: I like Chubb&#8217;s chances of scoring in his first game back from injury while St. Brown has a strong matchup to stay hot. On Sunday night, I am backing George Pickens to score after [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":302431,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-302386","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 7 TD picks: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 7 TD picks. 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