{"id":302045,"date":"2024-10-16T10:19:36","date_gmt":"2024-10-16T14:19:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=302045"},"modified":"2024-10-16T10:23:49","modified_gmt":"2024-10-16T14:23:49","slug":"dodgers-vs-mets-game-3-nlcs-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dodgers-vs-mets-game-3-nlcs-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Dodgers vs. Mets Game 3 same-game parlay predictions: Back Ohtani, Lindor in NLCS clash"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Tied at one game apiece, the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets continue the NLCS tonight at Citi Field in Queens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Offence is often difficult to come by in the postseason, but I’m looking for plenty of it on Tuesday. In a +350 SGP, I like Shohei Ohtani and Francisco Lindor to chip in at the plate and am fading Walker Buehler’s strikeout prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Dodgers vs. Mets predictions for Game 3 of the NLCS on Oct. 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dodgers vs. Mets SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Full MLB postseason betting markets: Click here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Over 7.5 runs + Ohtani over 0.5 runs + Lindor over 0.5 hits + Buehler under 5.5 strikeouts (+350)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over 7.5 runs (-108):<\/strong> This over is 6-1 in Dodgers playoff games so far, which is partially a credit to their stellar offence. But taking the over tonight is also a fade on both starting pitchers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #97485<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buehler has had an atrocious year, and it didn’t age well as time wore on. In his past 10 starts, Buehler has a 6.46 ERA. More importantly, this over has cashed in all 10 of those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Don’t discount Luis Severino’s ability to contribute to this run total either, though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Dodgers’ current lineup has a .429 SLG against Severino in 108 plate appearances. And Severino has allowed at least three runs in each of his past five starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ohtani over 0.5 runs (-122):<\/strong> I initially had Ohtani over 0.5 hits (-265) in this parlay, but this play provides greater value in a matchup that should feature some offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #97486<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

And with the run prop, I’m content to see Ohtani reach base via a hit or a walk. He has almost as many walks (five) as hits (six) so far this postseason, after all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In his MVP-calibre season with L.A., Ohtani led the majors in runs (134) and total bases (411). He’s cashed this prop in 96 of 166 games (57.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Against Severino, Ohtani is 3-for-6 with a home run, a double and a walk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindor over 0.5 hits (-220):<\/strong> Buehler has been giving out hits to pretty much anyone who wants them. He allowed a .282 BA to righties this year and a .296 BA to lefties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #97487<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The switch-hitting Lindor will bat from the left side, where he collected a .277 BA against righties this season. It’s nice to know that Lindor will retain a platoon advantage throughout the game regardless of which hand the opposing pitcher throws from.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lindor is 8-for-28 (.286) in his past seven games. He’s notched a hit in 111 of 161 (69.0%) games this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buehler under 5.5 strikeouts (-435):<\/strong> Without this final prop, the SGP comes in at +270 odds. I think tacking on a specific fade for Buehler is worth the price boost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #97488<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buehler’s outs prop (over\/under 14.5) implies he’s only sticking around for five-ish innings tonight. And there’s no reason to expect him to average more than a strikeout per frame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The right-hander posted a career-low 7.6 K\/9 during the regular season. He followed that with zero Ks over 5.0 innings in his first playoff outing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To be fair, that playoff start came against the Padres, who had a league-best 17.6% K rate this year. But Buehler’s K rate against the current Mets lineup (18.4%) gives me confidence that he’ll fall below this mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 9:30 a.m. on 10\/16\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tied at one game apiece, the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets continue the NLCS tonight at Citi Field in Queens. The pregame narrative: Offence is often difficult to come by in the postseason, but I’m looking for plenty of it on Tuesday. In a +350 SGP, I like Shohei Ohtani and Francisco Lindor […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":302071,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-302045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDodgers vs. Mets predictions: NLCS Game 3 SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dodgers vs. Mets SGP predictions for Oct. 16. 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