{"id":301803,"date":"2024-10-14T12:09:35","date_gmt":"2024-10-14T16:09:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=301803"},"modified":"2024-10-14T12:09:38","modified_gmt":"2024-10-14T16:09:38","slug":"bills-vs-jets-week-6-sgp-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bills-vs-jets-week-6-sgp-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Jets Week 6 same-game parlay predictions: Target Kincaid, Hall in +600 SGP for MNF"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s an all-New York battle \u2014 taking place in New Jersey \u2014 to close out NFL Week 6 on Monday Night Football.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Fresh off the firing of head coach Robert Saleh, the New York Jets host the Buffalo Bills with a chance to draw even in the AFC East. I&#8217;m backing Buffalo on an alt spread, though, in a +600 SGP that also features Breece Hall and Dalton Kincaid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Bills vs. Jets same-game parlay predictions for Week 6 below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs. Jets same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full NFL betting markets: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">Click here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Bills +3.5 + Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards + Hall over 49.5 rushing yards + Under 45.5 points (+600)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bills +3.5 (-200):<\/strong> Buffalo is in a tough stretch of its season, playing on the road for a third straight week after losing in Baltimore and Houston. That&#8217;s why I want to buy some points rather than back the Bills straight up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97352\">Embed: #97352<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I do still want in on the Bills&#8217; side, though. They&#8217;re 6-2 against the Jets since 2020, and they covered this number in one of the two losses. New York is merely days removed from a coaching change and has had more travel in the past week (returning from London) than Buffalo has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though I doubt that Josh Allen is at full strength, he didn&#8217;t miss any practices in the run-up to the game. And James Cook is planning to play, which helps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York&#8217;s only wins of the season came against the Patriots and Titans, so I have no confidence that they can win by margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards (-200): <\/strong>Khalil Shakir is questionable to play after logging just one practice at the end of the week. Even if he plays, it&#8217;s reasonable to believe he won&#8217;t be counted on to handle a full workload.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97350\">Embed: #97350<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Enter Kincaid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After a curiously quiet Week 1, Kincaid has enjoyed a steady role in Buffalo&#8217;s offence. In each of the past four games, he has &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>4+ targets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>30+ receiving yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20.0% (or greater) target share<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>And as a rookie in 2023, Kincaid had four-plus catches in both games against the Jets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if the Bills were fully healthy on offence, this is a yardage number I&#8217;d expect him to clear. But I&#8217;m particularly bullish based on the state of Buffalo&#8217;s offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hall over 49.5 rushing yards (-180):<\/strong> FOX&#8217;s Jay Glazer reported this week that Jets interim head coach Jeff Ulbrich is committed to a &#8220;run-focused offence.&#8221; Time to see if that&#8217;s true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97351\">Embed: #97351<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hall has looked awful in back-to-back games, rushing for just 27 yards on 17 carries. Woof. But if New York is prepared to commit to its ground attack, we should expect quite a bit more from its top runner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Weeks 1-3, Hall surpassed the 50-yard marker in each game. He also torched Buffalo at home last season, going for 127 yards and a score on just 10 carries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo ranks 31st in yards allowed per rush (5.2).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 45.5 points (-210):<\/strong> It&#8217;s a bit of a cliche to treat divisional matchups differently than the rest. But the Jets and Bills do tend to play low-scoring games, and the recent sample is large enough that I&#8217;m buying in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97353\">Embed: #97353<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since 2020, seven of their eight head-to-head meetings fell below this number. The Bills and Jets combined for an average 39.5 points in those games (with one 62-point outlier mixed in).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jets have the No. 2 total defence in football, and each of their past four games has fallen below this total. As for Buffalo, the under is 3-0 in road games this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:30 a.m. on 10\/14\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s an all-New York battle \u2014 taking place in New Jersey \u2014 to close out NFL Week 6 on Monday Night Football. The pregame narrative: Fresh off the firing of head coach Robert Saleh, the New York Jets host the Buffalo Bills with a chance to draw even in the AFC East. I&#8217;m backing Buffalo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":301828,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-301803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Jets predictions: MNF Week 6 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Bills vs. Jets SGP predictions for Week 6. 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