{"id":301752,"date":"2024-10-13T14:31:25","date_gmt":"2024-10-13T18:31:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=301752"},"modified":"2024-10-13T14:31:25","modified_gmt":"2024-10-13T18:31:25","slug":"bills-vs-jets-week-6-prop-picks-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bills-vs-jets-week-6-prop-picks-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Jets Week 6 MNF prop picks: Fade Josh Allen, back Braelon Allen"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets wrap up Week 6 with an all-AFC East showdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Josh Allen has struggled the last two weeks and I&#8217;m fading him against a defence that has given him trouble. My best bet is a play on New York&#8217;s backup running back, Braelon Allen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my Bills vs. Jets prop picks for Monday Night Football on Oct. 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs. Jets prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Full Monday Night Football betting markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/event\/1020832165\">Click Here<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Best Bet: Allen over 32.5 rushing yards (-112)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:97288\">Embed: #97288<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This bet should simply come down to how much volume Allen gets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rookie running back has been hyper-efficient for the Jets, logging 143 rushing yards on 32 carries (4.5 YPC). Compare that to Breece Hall, who has 197 yards on 65 carries (3.0 YPC). That&#8217;s only 44 more yards on nearly double the touches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I&#8217;m not saying the Jets should make Allen their RB1, but moving closer to a timeshare could benefit both parties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 20-year-old had a tough outing against the Minnesota Vikings last week (five carries, 13 yards), but who doesn&#8217;t? Minnesota allows the second-fewest rushing yards per game and is second in defensive EPA per rush. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the three weeks before that, Allen rushed for 34 yards against the Denver Broncos, 55 yards against the New England Patriots and 33 yards against the Tennesee Titans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He only had one carry in New York&#8217;s season opener against the San Francisco 49ers so I&#8217;m throwing that result out the window. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bills&#8217; rush defence isn&#8217;t great and I expect the Jets to exploit that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Buffalo has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards per game and is 22nd in defensive EPA per rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Allen over 0.5 interceptions (-124):<\/strong> Allen hasn&#8217;t thrown an interception this year but he&#8217;s far from perfect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:97289\">Embed: #97289<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MVP hopeful has been awful the last two weeks, completing a combined 25-of-59 passes (42.3%) with just one touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to PFF, Allen has six turnover-worthy plays so far and is on pace for the highest turnover-worthy play percentage of his career: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Josh Allen still has yet to throw an interception, but he&#39;s on pace for the highest turnover-worthy play percentage since his rookie year (4.9%)<\/p>&mdash; Steve Palazzolo (@StevePalazzolo_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StevePalazzolo_\/status\/1843124537011188104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 7, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He had a nightmare game against the Jets to open last season, throwing three interceptions while losing a fumble. He also threw an interception when the teams met in Week 11. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Robert Saleh is gone but I don&#8217;t expect New York&#8217;s defence to take a hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Jets had 17 interceptions last season, which was tied for the eighth-most in the NFL (two so far in 2024). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 1:22 p.m. ET 10\/13\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets wrap up Week 6 with an all-AFC East showdown. The pregame narrative: Josh Allen has struggled the last two weeks and I&#8217;m fading him against a defence that has given him trouble. My best bet is a play on New York&#8217;s backup running back, Braelon Allen. Check out [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":301762,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-301752","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Jets prop picks &amp; predictions: Week 6 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our top Bills vs. Jets prop picks for Week 6. 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