{"id":301378,"date":"2024-10-11T14:32:07","date_gmt":"2024-10-11T18:32:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=301378"},"modified":"2024-10-11T14:32:08","modified_gmt":"2024-10-11T18:32:08","slug":"tigers-vs-guardians-picks-alds-game-5-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/tigers-vs-guardians-picks-alds-game-5-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Game 5 predictions: Bet on Skubal, Detroit on F5 moneyline"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Knotted at two games apiece, the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers will play for a spot in the ALCS on Saturday at Progressive Field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Tarik Skubal will get the ball for Detroit on normal rest, while Cleveland hasn&#8217;t decided on its starter (as of this writing). With an elite pitcher on the mound, I&#8217;m targeting a pair of F5 wagers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Tigers vs. Guardians predictions for Game 5 of their ALDS matchup on Oct. 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tigers vs. Guardians predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Full MLB postseason betting markets: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Tigers tie no bet &#8211; first five innings (-150)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97169\">Embed: #97169<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Betting against Tarik Skubal is never fun and rarely advisable. And I&#8217;m not going to do it with Detroit&#8217;s season on the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a steep price to pay, but I&#8217;d say it&#8217;s worth it. Detroit is 8-0-3 on the F5 moneyline in Skubal&#8217;s past 11 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And Skubal has been central to that early-game success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AL-Cy-Young-to-be has a 1.57 ERA and a 10.5 K\/9 in that span. Detroit has led at the F5 mark in each of his past five starts, so betting on the Tigers to lead at the halfway mark is reasonable, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97172\">Embed: #97172<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I prefer the safety of the tie-no-bet market because the Guardians likely have some stellar pitching lined up, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though it hasn&#8217;t been announced, Matthew Boyd should factor into Game 5 as either a starter or bulk reliever. And Friday&#8217;s rest day means the talented Cleveland bullpen, which had the lowest post-all-star ERA in the majors (2.50), should be at full strength.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, Skubal is the best possible guy to have on the mound in a winner-take-all game. He blanked the Guardians over 7.0 innings of three-hit ball in Game 2, and he can do it again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Detroit is 20-6-7 on the F5 moneyline in Skubal&#8217;s outings this year (regular season and playoffs included).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 3.5 runs &#8211; first five innings (-148):<\/strong> Here&#8217;s another bet with a lot of extra juice. But also some compelling trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:97176\">Embed: #97176<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Skubal is on a 24.1-inning scoreless streak that dates back to Sept. 18. He&#8217;s also been a menace against the Guardians, allowing two runs over 20.0 innings (all on the road) since August of last season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether or not Boyd starts, I expect him to factor into Saturday&#8217;s game. He went toe-to-toe with Skubal in Game 2, keeping Detroit scoreless over 4.2 innings before turning things over to the bullpen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two games in this ALDS matchup went under 3.5 runs at the F5 mark, and another finished with exactly four runs (thanks to a pair scored in the fifth).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Expect pitching to overpower hitting in the series clincher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 2:12 p.m. ET 10\/11\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Knotted at two games apiece, the Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers will play for a spot in the ALCS on Saturday at Progressive Field. The pregame narrative: Tarik Skubal will get the ball for Detroit on normal rest, while Cleveland hasn&#8217;t decided on its starter (as of this writing). With an elite pitcher on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":301384,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-301378","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tigers vs. Guardians predictions: Game 5, ALDS | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Tigers vs. Guardians predictions for Oct. 12. 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