{"id":301060,"date":"2024-10-10T09:29:27","date_gmt":"2024-10-10T13:29:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=301060"},"modified":"2024-10-10T09:29:27","modified_gmt":"2024-10-10T13:29:27","slug":"guardians-vs-tigers-game-4-alds-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/guardians-vs-tigers-game-4-alds-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Guardians vs. Tigers Game 4 same-game parlay predictions: Back Carpenter, Bibee in +255 SGP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Detroit Tigers are on the brink of returning to the ALCS for the first time since 2013, and they can punch their ticket at home tonight against the Cleveland Guardians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Rather than picking a side in my same-game parlay for ALDS Game 4, I’m backing two player props and a teased-up under. This +255 ticket features Detroit’s Kerry Carpenter and Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Guardians vs. Tigers predictions for Game 4 of their ALDS matchup on Oct. 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guardians vs. Tigers SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Bibee over 3.5 strikeouts + Carpenter over 0.5 hits + Under 7.5 runs (+255)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bibee over 3.5 Ks (-345):<\/strong> Pitching props can be fickle in the postseason. Especially for teams on the brink of elimination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96973<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Bibee gets in some hot water tonight, Cleveland manager Stephen Vogt will almost certainly have a quick hook to get to the Guardians’ stellar bullpen. I was staring down Bibee over 5.5 Ks (+145) as a standard wager, but I just can’t stomach it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This dumbed-down line should be within reach, though. Bibee struck out six Tigers over 4.2 innings in the series opener. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The right-hander has 25 Ks over 26.2 innings against Detroit this year, going over 3.5 strikeouts in four of those five starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So again, an abbreviated start is a risk with Bibee tonight. But against a Detroit team that had the eighth-highest K rate in the majors this year, I still expect him to get this done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Carpenter over 0.5 hits (-150):<\/strong> If every pitcher in the world was right-handed, would Carpenter be a household name?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96972<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not as crazy as it sounds. Carpenter is batting .305 with a .994 OPS against righties this year. His 176 wRC+ in that matchup puts him just below Bobby Witt Jr. and just above Vladimir Guerrero Jr. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In other words, he’s sitting with some pretty good company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carpenter is just 3-for-13 (.231) in the postseason so far, but he did have one of the most unlikely hits of all, bashing a game-winning homer in ALDS Game 2 with the world’s best closer, Emmanuel Clase, on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

During the regular season, Carpenter batted .284 and cashed this bet in 48 of 73 starts (65.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under 7.5 runs (-182):<\/strong> Unders are hot in this matchup, so I’ll stick with that trend \u2014 even though Detroit’s pitching plans are a mystery as of this writing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96971<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tarik Skubal won’t be an option (at least not to start), but recent Tigers\/Guardians games have been offensively futile with or without him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This under has cashed in six of their past seven meetings \u2014 including all three playoff games \u2014 with an average of 5.1 total runs in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also, the under is 44-35-3 (55.7%) in Detroit home games this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 9:05 a.m. on 10\/10\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Detroit Tigers are on the brink of returning to the ALCS for the first time since 2013, and they can punch their ticket at home tonight against the Cleveland Guardians. The pregame narrative: Rather than picking a side in my same-game parlay for ALDS Game 4, I’m backing two player props and a teased-up […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":301072,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10],"class_list":["post-301060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGuardians vs. Tigers predictions: ALDS Game 4 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Guardians vs. Tigers SGP predictions for Oct. 10. 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