{"id":300689,"date":"2024-10-08T16:02:37","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T20:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=300689"},"modified":"2024-10-08T16:02:37","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T20:02:37","slug":"mlb-best-bets-october-9-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-october-9-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB playoff best bets Oct. 9: Royals, Guardians are good picks to get ahead in ALDS series"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Wednesday’s action involves a pair of ALDS Game 3s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Cleveland Guardians have a good opportunity to get the upper hand with the Detroit Tigers lacking pitching options. Later on, I like the Kansas City Royals to win at home over the New York Yankees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out these MLB best bets for Oct. 9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Full MLB postseason betting markets: Click here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Royals moneyline (+100)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96815<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A lot of the reasoning behind this is the starting pitchers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Clarke Schmidt had a good season for the Yankees overall (2.85 ERA) but comes into this start off extended rest following consecutive starts where he allowed three or more runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He often limits hits but has a 41st percentile walk rate (8.5%) according to Baseball Savant. His 3.75 xERA is almost 100 points higher than his actual ERA, so I do believe some good fortune was on his side this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seth Lugo finished with a 3.01 ERA for the Royals, pitched 206.2 innings and has a start in these playoffs already. He worked 4.1 innings against the Orioles in the wild-card round and gave up one run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 112 at-bats vs. the Yankees offence, Lugo has held the Bronx Bombers to 25 hits (.223 batting average).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That includes Aaron Judge being 0-for-8 off Lugo in his career. In my view, the Yankees are more likely to struggle on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: The Royals lineup is 21-for-58 off of Schmidt (.362 BA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Guardians moneyline (-113):<\/strong> We don’t know who’s starting for the Tigers, but we do know it’s not Tarik Skubal. That’s the important part.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96816<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Detroit has done well using basically one starting pitcher this postseason … but how long can that last?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We saw the downside of this approach in Game 1 when the Guardians smacked the Tigers, 7-0, and scored three first-inning runs off of makeshift starter Tyler Holton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cleveland will turn to Alex Cobb for this start. He was effective after returning from injury in early August, pitching 16.1 innings and recording a 2.78 ERA before returning to the injured list with a blister on his throwing hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s not clear what his workload will be but if we’re headed for a bullpen game, I still like the Guardians. They led the majors with a 2.57 bullpen ERA this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 2:29 p.m. ET on 10\/08\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Wednesday’s action involves a pair of ALDS Game 3s. The pregame narrative: The Cleveland Guardians have a good opportunity to get the upper hand with the Detroit Tigers lacking pitching options. Later on, I like the Kansas City Royals to win at home over the New York Yankees. Check out these MLB best bets for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":300705,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10],"class_list":["post-300689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMLB best bets Oct. 9: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our MLB best bets for Oct. 9. 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