{"id":300610,"date":"2024-10-08T13:08:31","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T17:08:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=300610"},"modified":"2024-10-08T13:08:31","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T17:08:31","slug":"dodgers-vs-padres-game-3-nlds-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/dodgers-vs-padres-game-3-nlds-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Dodgers vs. Padres Game 3 same-game parlay predictions: Back Ohtani but bet on San Diego to win"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The all-SoCal NLDS matchup shifts to San Diego as the Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> With Michael King on the mound, I like the Padres’ chances of sending the home crowd happy. I’m also fading Walker Buehler while backing Shohei Ohtani and Fernando Tatis Jr. on the prop market in this +425 SGP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Dodgers vs. Padres predictions for Game 3<\/a> of their NLDS matchup on Oct. 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dodgers vs. Padres SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Full MLB postseason betting markets: Click here<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Padres moneyline + Buehler under 3.5 strikeouts + Ohtani over 0.5 hits + Tatis over 0.5 runs (+425)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Padres moneyline (-157)<\/a>:<\/strong> The Padres went 19-12 this year with King on the mound, which equates to a 99-win pace. That’s great, but it probably still undersells how effective King has been lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96796<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 10 starts since Aug. 1, King has a 1.92 ERA and an 11.0 K\/9. That includes a start against the Dodgers to close out the regular season in which he allowed just one unearned run over 5.0 innings in a win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

San Diego is 9-6 against L.A. this year and a perfect 3-0 when King starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buehler was solid in his most recent start against the Padres, but I’m not very moved. He has a 4.93 ERA and an .831 opponent OPS since coming off the injured list in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Buehler under 3.5 Ks (-235)<\/a>:<\/strong> Going deeper on Buehler, he’s not in a strong position to pile up strikeouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96797<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Padres had the lowest K rate in the majors this season (17.6%), almost two full percentage points below any other club. And Buehler, with a 7.6 K\/9 in 2024, doesn’t profile as a guy who can successfully buck that trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After all, Buehler has just three Ks over 8.1 innings against San Diego this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ohtani over 0.5 hits (-220)<\/a>:<\/strong> King looks unhittable to a lot of guys right now, but Ohtani isn’t one of them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96798<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The soon-to-be NL MVP is 6-for-14 with three homers and two doubles in this head-to-head matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Given all that power production, I don’t mind Ohtani over 1.5 bases (+100) as a straight wager. But in a parlay, I’ll opt for this safer bet instead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ohtani posted a career-best .310 batting average this season, collecting at least one hit in 116 of 159 games (73.0%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tatis over 0.5 runs (-120)<\/a>:<\/strong> Tatis is off to a blazing start in the postseason, slashing .643\/.722\/1.429 with five extra-base hits and seven runs scored. He’s cashed this prop in all four games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96799<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Against Buehler, who isn’t pitching anywhere near his peak this year, I think Tatis can do more damage tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

These two have seen plenty of each other, and Tatis is 9-for-29 (.310) with four homers in this head-to-head matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last time Tatis faced Buehler at Petco Park, he bashed a first-inning home run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 12:50 p.m. on 10\/08\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking to get started? Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The all-SoCal NLDS matchup shifts to San Diego as the Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers. The pregame narrative: With Michael King on the mound, I like the Padres’ chances of sending the home crowd happy. I’m also fading Walker Buehler while backing Shohei Ohtani and Fernando Tatis Jr. on the prop market in this […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":300671,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-300610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDodgers vs. Padres predictions: NLDS Game 3 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Dodgers vs. Padres SGP predictions for Oct. 8. 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