{"id":300024,"date":"2024-10-05T11:17:54","date_gmt":"2024-10-05T15:17:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=300024"},"modified":"2024-10-05T13:05:30","modified_gmt":"2024-10-05T17:05:30","slug":"royals-vs-yankees-game-1-alds-predictions-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/royals-vs-yankees-game-1-alds-predictions-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Royals vs. Yankees Game 1 same-game parlay predictions: Back New York to win, Witt to get a hit in +280 SGP for ALDS opener"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The New York Yankees, who are prominent favourites to win the American League, start their playoff journey tonight at home against the Kansas City Royals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Gerrit Cole is on the mound for the Yankees, which gives me confidence that the home team will win. This +280 same-game parlay also features prop bets on Cole and Bobby Witt Jr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Royals vs. Yankees predictions for Game 1 of their ALDS matchup on Oct. 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Royals vs. Yankees SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>MLB markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fsports-hub%2Fbaseball%2Fmlb&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480015353%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=glJDBFkhC3LlPn8TV%2Fci0zsI%2FxcZyEJj%2FJpQPRib62o%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fnews%2Fstats&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480025470%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=fm4gxgwnsPkAy6JgPBFxseYap85TjIRttY90lvM%2F9ZE%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Yankees moneyline + Cole over 5.5 strikeouts + Witt to record a hit (+280)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\"><strong>Yankees moneyline (-205):<\/strong> The Yankees are the best the AL has to offer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:96523\">Embed: #96523<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\">The odds speak for themselves, as New York is a staggering <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/event\/1020234240\">+115<\/a> favourite to win the pennant before the division series even begins. And keep in mind that the Yankees posted AL-best totals in wins (94) and run differential (+147).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City had a +91 run differential, which is still strong &#8230; but also 56 runs worse than what New York accomplished. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During the regular season, the Yankees went 5-2 against the Royals \u2014 and that was without KC ever facing Cole.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reigning AL Cy Young winner turned things around after a couple of shaky starts, and New York won 10 of his final 15 outings this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"other-parlay-picks\">SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cole over 5.5 strikeouts (-122):<\/strong> The Royals had one of the lowest K rates in the majors this year. But that doesn&#8217;t faze me (or Cole, I assume).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:96522\">Embed: #96522<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In this matchup, Cole has won over and over again. He&#8217;s racked up 53 Ks against the current Royals lineup in just 157 plate appearances, which equates to a 33.8% K rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If that was Cole&#8217;s season-long strikeout rate, it would rank in the 96th percentile of the majors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cole isn&#8217;t at the peak of his strikeout powers, but he&#8217;s still fanning more than a batter per inning. He hit this over in 10 of his past 15 starts, posting a 9.7 K\/9 in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Add that to his exceptional numbers against KC and you&#8217;ve got the recipe for a high-strikeout performance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Witt to record a hit (-265):<\/strong> Witt is 2-for-6 against Cole, which is solid enough, but this pick isn&#8217;t really about that matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:96521\">Embed: #96521<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Frankly, Witt is a reasonable pick to record a hit against anybody. He won the batting title this year (.332 BA) and had a hit in 128 of 161 games (79.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The superstar shortstop comes by it honestly, as his xBA (.321) was the highest in the majors, per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He walks at a league-average rate, rarely strikes out and has some of the highest-quality contact in the league. One hit from Witt is not much to ask for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:05 a.m. on 10\/05\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The New York Yankees, who are prominent favourites to win the American League, start their playoff journey tonight at home against the Kansas City Royals. The pregame narrative: Gerrit Cole is on the mound for the Yankees, which gives me confidence that the home team will win. This +280 same-game parlay also features prop bets [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":300068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-300024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Royals vs. Yankees predictions: ALDS Game 1 SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Royals vs. Yankees SGP predictions for Oct. 5. 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