{"id":299388,"date":"2024-10-01T14:49:57","date_gmt":"2024-10-01T18:49:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=299388"},"modified":"2024-10-01T14:54:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-01T18:54:23","slug":"braves-vs-padres-game-1-wild-card-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/braves-vs-padres-game-1-wild-card-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs. Padres Game 1 same-game parlay predictions: Bet on San Diego to win, Matt Olson in +300 SGP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves wrap up Day 1 of the MLB playoffs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Atlanta squeaked into the wild-card round with a Game 162 win over the New York Mets. I expect San Diego to win the series opener and am also backing Michael King and Matt Olson on the prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Braves vs. Padres predictions<\/a> for Game 1 of their wild-card series on Oct. 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Braves vs. Padres SGP predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Padres moneyline + King over 4.5 strikeouts + Olson to record a hit (+300)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Padres moneyline (-177)<\/a>:<\/strong> Yesterday, the Braves were forced to throw everything at the wall in hopes of earning a split with the New York Mets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96161<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlanta got the job done but is now on its back foot against the red-hot Padres. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chris Sale \u2014 the soon-to-be NL Cy Young winner \u2014 won’t start due to back tightness. Max Fried gets the ball tomorrow and Reynaldo Lopez is lined up for a potential Game 3. That means the Braves are going to a bullpen game, one day after their bullpen threw 7.0 innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even if Fried or Lopez were going, I would like San Diego’s chances with King pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Padres’ ace has a 2.15 ERA since the all-star game while holding opponents to a measly .300 slugging percentage. His team is 7-4 in those starts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

King over 4.5 strikeouts (-235)<\/a>:<\/strong> Our Chris Toman took the over on King’s standard 5.5-strikeout line as his best prop bet<\/a> of the day. I’m on board with that and am teasing it down for some insurance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96162<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The righty wasn’t just a throw-in for superstar Juan Soto. He’s an elite swing-and-miss arm who is going up against a Braves team with the 10th-highest strikeout rate against righties. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

King’s 27.7% K rate ranks in MLB’s 81st percentile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He routinely pitches deep into ballgames and has cleared this mark in 25 of 31 appearances on the season (80.6%). Managers tend to have a shorter leash on their starters during the postseason but King’s stuff is strong enough that it shouldn’t matter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From his time as a reliever on the New York Yankees, King has a 28.6% K rate against San Diego’s current lineup (28 plate appearances). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Olson to record a hit (-141)<\/a>:<\/strong> Olson is strikeout prone, but he’s also on a nice little heater.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #96163<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The first baseman has a hit in 26 of his last 34 games and is batting .331\/.425\/.621 in that span. He’s recorded a knock in seven of his last eight and had a knock in both legs of yesterday’s doubleheader.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Olson is a lefty bat that was struggling to hit righty pitching at the beginning of the season \u2014 but lately, the script has flipped. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He is batting .338 against righties since the beginning of September. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 1:45 p.m. on 10\/01\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking to get started? Sign up here<\/a>. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves wrap up Day 1 of the MLB playoffs. The pregame narrative: Atlanta squeaked into the wild-card round with a Game 162 win over the New York Mets. I expect San Diego to win the series opener and am also backing Michael King and Matt Olson on the prop […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":299483,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-299388","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBraves vs. Padres predictions: Game 1 MLB wild-card SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Braves vs. Padres SGP predictions for Oct. 1. 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