{"id":298978,"date":"2024-09-28T12:33:08","date_gmt":"2024-09-28T16:33:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298978"},"modified":"2024-09-28T12:33:09","modified_gmt":"2024-09-28T16:33:09","slug":"mlb-best-bets-september-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-28\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB best bets Sept. 28: Back the Dodgers, take the under in Seattle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MLB playoff picture is almost set in stone but there is still value on the betting board today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Los Angeles Dodgers are one win away from clinching home-field advantage and I expect them to start hot in Denver. Elsewhere, take the under in a matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out these MLB best bets for Sept. 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights wp-block-paragraph\">MLB Markets:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/matches\/today\">Click Here<\/a>\u00a0| MLB Stats:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Athletics\/Mariners under 7.5 runs (-110)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Mariners&#8217; playoff hopes are dead and the culprit is an anemic offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seattle ranks 22nd in runs per game (4.14), 29th in batting average (.224), and 30th in strikeout rate (26.9%). The team&#8217;s bats have heated up in September but it is too little too late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With nothing to play for, I can see this game being a slog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Joey Estas gets the ball for the Athletics and the second-year starter hasn&#8217;t had a great year. He has a 4.99 ERA but has done well against this Mariners lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In three starts, Estas has held Seattle to five runs and a .167 batting average. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the other side, Emerson Hancock sees the A&#8217;s for the first time. The righty has put together a pair of decent starts since returning from Triple-A, and just held the Texas Rangers to two runs over 5.0 IP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Three of Seattle&#8217;s last four games have gone under this total as have each of Oakland&#8217;s last three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: The Mariners (4.14 runs\/game) and Athletics (3.96) rank 22nd and 26th in scoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dodgers F5 -1.5 (-106):<\/strong> Yoshinobu Yamamoto&#8217;s stats against the Colorado Rockies don&#8217;t look pretty. In 31 plate appearances (two starts) the Rockies are batting .370 with a .519 SLG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But it&#8217;s fair to say the Japanese rookie has had a bit of bad luck. According to Baseball Savant, Colorado&#8217;s .387 xSLG is noticeably lower. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In his first start against the Rockies, he held them to one earned run in 6.0 innings before allowing four earned runs in 3.0 IP last week. I&#8217;m confident enough in the righty&#8217;s stuff that he&#8217;ll have a good outing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yamamoto has a solid 2.96 ERA on the season and an 85th-percentile K rate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And even if he struggles, Los Angeles is more than capable of blowing Antonio Senzatela out of the water. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shohei Ohtani is on another planet right now with 24 hits in his last 34 at-bats (.706 batting average, six doubles, six home runs). And he&#8217;s just one piece of baseball&#8217;s deadliest offence. Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez are three of 12 Dodgers with a wRC+ above 110.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L.A. has scored 18 runs in its last two games and should come out of the gate firing tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 12:30 p.m. ET on 09\/28\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The MLB playoff picture is almost set in stone but there is still value on the betting board today. The pregame narrative: The Los Angeles Dodgers are one win away from clinching home-field advantage and I expect them to start hot in Denver. Elsewhere, take the under in a matchup between the Seattle Mariners and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":291004,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-298978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB best bets Sept. 28: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 28. 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