{"id":298820,"date":"2024-09-28T10:06:43","date_gmt":"2024-09-28T14:06:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298820"},"modified":"2024-09-29T09:54:22","modified_gmt":"2024-09-29T13:54:22","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-september-28-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-september-28-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Sept. 28: Bet on Skenes to finish strong, Yamamoto to shove"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I&#8217;m backing two stud rookies on the last Saturday of MLB&#8217;s regular season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Paul Skenes can potentially lock up the NL Rookie of the Year award with a strong outing today. I say he does it. Elsewhere, I&#8217;m backing Yoshinobu Yamamoto to clear his strikeout total and Adolis Garcia to rack up multiple bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights wp-block-paragraph\">MLB Markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB Stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Skenes over 6.5 strikeouts (-129)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:95920\">Embed: #95920<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I find it outrageous that people suggest Skenes won&#8217;t win the NL Rookie of the Year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh&#8217;s ace has put together a historic season, posting a 1.99 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 22 starts. His 167 strikeouts in 131.0 IP equates to an 11.47 K\/9 and that, along with his ERA, would be the best in baseball had he thrown enough innings to qualify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Skenes has cleared this line in 16 of 22 starts including each of his last three. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He fanned nine Reds in 5.0 IP his last time out on just 73 pitches. The only thing working against Skenes clearing this wager in my mind is an internal pitch count. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New York Yankees are a tough, tough lineup to get out but they&#8217;ve been a little swing-happy lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They have the 10th-highest K rate against right-handed pitching in the last 30 days and just allowed Corbin Burnes to rack up nine Ks in 5.0 IP a few days ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Skenes&#8217; stuff is even better than Burnes&#8217; and I expect the rookie to finish his season on a high note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Skenes has 25 strikeouts in his last three starts (17.0 IP).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Yamamoto over 5.5 strikeouts (-130)<\/strong>: Yamamoto got lit up by the Colorado Rockies his last time out, ceding four earned runs and five hits in 3.0 IP. But he still struck out four and I&#8217;m betting on a rebound tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:95923\">Embed: #95923<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Japanese phenom has largely been a stud in his first year of MLB action. He has a 2.96 ERA and an 85th percentile K rate, per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yamamoto played the Rockies once before last week&#8217;s start and fanned seven in 6.0 IP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He&#8217;s also been slowly increasing his pitch count since returning from the IL and now would be a good time to have a lengthy outing. The Los Angeles Dodgers are one win away from clinching home-field advantage throughout the playoffs so Dave Roberts should give Yamamoto some runway.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Garcia over 1.5 bases (+112):<\/strong> Garcia&#8217;s season has been a disappointment but at least he&#8217;s finishing strong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:95922\">Embed: #95922<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Texas Rangers outfielder has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and has cleared this line six times. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He went yard last night for his 25th home run of the season and has a good chance to hit for power against Los Angeles Angels starter Griffin Canning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Canning has a 5.24 ERA on the season and ranks in the 25th percentile or lower in hard-hit rate, xBA, xSLG and average exit velocity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Garcia is 4-for-11 against the righty with a double and two home runs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 3:31 p.m. ET on 09\/27\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m backing two stud rookies on the last Saturday of MLB&#8217;s regular season. The pregame narrative: Paul Skenes can potentially lock up the NL Rookie of the Year award with a strong outing today. I say he does it. Elsewhere, I&#8217;m backing Yoshinobu Yamamoto to clear his strikeout total and Adolis Garcia to rack up [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":298838,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-298820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets Sept. 28: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Sept. 28. 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