{"id":298670,"date":"2024-09-27T09:49:54","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T13:49:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298670"},"modified":"2024-09-27T14:22:05","modified_gmt":"2024-09-27T18:22:05","slug":"college-football-picks-props-predictions-week-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/college-football-picks-props-predictions-week-5\/","title":{"rendered":"College football Week 5 picks and predictions: NCAAF best bets on Illinois, Fresno State"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I’m dialling up a moneyline bet and an ATS pick for Week 5 of the college football season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> No. 9 Penn State is laying too many points for my liking against No. 19 Illinois, so I’m riding with the Fighting Illini. Elsewhere, look for Fresno State to capitalize on a tumultuous situation at UNLV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best college football Week 5 picks for the action on Sept. 28.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

College football Week 5 picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
NCAAF Week 5 picks<\/strong><\/td>Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Fresno State moneyline<\/td>+115<\/td><\/tr>
Illinois +18.5<\/td>-130<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Go to full college football betting markets<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Fresno State moneyline (+115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Matthew Sluka situation changed everything about this week’s Fresno State vs. UNLV matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sluka, the starting quarterback and leading rusher at UNLV, announced Wednesday that he “will not be playing in any additional games this season” due to an issue with unpaid NIL commitments. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

UNLV has an interesting backup quarterback in Hajj-Malik Williams, the career passing leader at FCS Campbell who transferred to Las Vegas for a sixth collegiate season. Williams has 88 rush yards on 10 carries this season but has yet to attempt a pass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And although he put up big numbers with Campbell, he struggled mightily against FBS-calibre competition. In three games against FBS schools over the past three seasons, Williams’ Camels scored just 24 total points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A midweek quarterback change is jarring, and I’m not sold on Williams holding down the fort with limited prep time. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fresno State is a competent enough team to take advantage of this odd situation. Remember, the Bulldogs are three-time reigning bowl winners who gave Michigan a small scare in Week 1 and have three straight wins since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last year, Fresno State quarterback Mikey Keene threw for 256 yards and four touchdowns against UNLV.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Fresno State has gone 6-0 against UNLV over the past six seasons, winning each of those matchups by at least a touchdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Illinois +18.5 (-130):<\/strong> Illinois went into Nebraska last week and beat a frisky Cornhuskers squad as a 9.5-point underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luke Altymer looks like a guy who’s made serious strides in his second year as a starting QB. He has a 10:0 TD-to-INT ratio while completing 71.5% of his passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Penn State was the latest team to beat up on hapless Kent State last week, and I’m not putting much stock into that 56-0 drubbing. The week before, the Nittany Lions scratched out a seven-point win as 34.5-point home favourites against Bowling Green.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Illinois is 3-0-1 ATS so far and can cover this spread without playing anywhere near its ceiling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NCAA made at 9:40 a.m. on 09\/27\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I’m dialling up a moneyline bet and an ATS pick for Week 5 of the college football season. The pregame narrative: No. 9 Penn State is laying too many points for my liking against No. 19 Illinois, so I’m riding with the Fighting Illini. Elsewhere, look for Fresno State to capitalize on a tumultuous situation […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":298732,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,77,606],"tags":[448],"class_list":["post-298670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-college-football","category-american_football","tag-ncaaf-picks"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCollege football Week 5 picks, props and predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our college football Week 5 picks, props and predictions. 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