{"id":298619,"date":"2024-09-26T16:17:55","date_gmt":"2024-09-26T20:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298619"},"modified":"2024-09-26T16:17:56","modified_gmt":"2024-09-26T20:17:56","slug":"nfl-week-4-prop-bets-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-4-prop-bets-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NFL Week 4 prop bets: Roll with George Pickens, Chris Godwin and Brock Bowers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I’m taking the over on three receiving totals for this week’s NFL prop bets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: George Pickens and Chris Godwin have favourable matchups against the Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles, respectively. Brock Bowers takes on the Cleveland Browns with hopes of regaining the receiving lead among tight ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best NFL Week 4 prop bets for this weekend’s games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NFL Week 4 prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full NFL Week 4 betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Pickens over 49.5 receiving yards (-113)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95776<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 3-0 and Pickens still hasn’t had his breakout game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To be fair, the third-year wideout did haul in six catches for 85 yards in the season opener. But I know he’s capable of much, much more than that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The following week Pickens was held to just 29 yards but had a 50-yard catch and a short-distance touchdown called back due to unnecessary penalties. Last Sunday against the Los Angeles Chargers, he had five catches for 57 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Basically, Pickens would have cleared this line in each game if his team had been more disciplined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pittsburgh cleaned up its penalties in Week 3 \u2014 only committing three for a total of 15 yards \u2014 so I’m not too worried about that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But let’s put yellow flags aside for a moment and talk about the matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Colts’ defence has gotten abused in the run game, ranking 31st in rushing yards allowed. Backing Najee Harris might seem enticing but I want no part of his underwhelming 3.8 yards per carry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indianapolis actually has a worse defensive EPA per dropback (22nd) than it does per rush (11th) and it allows the ninth-most yards to WRs per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: Five different receivers have cleared this line against Indianapolis, including three last week. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Godwin over 62.5 receiving yards (-115):<\/strong> The last time Tampa Bay played Philadelphia, Baker Mayfield threw for 337 yards in a blowout wild-card victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95770<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Godwin was the fifth-leading receiver for the Bucs that game, hauling in four catches for 45 yards and a score. That’s well below this total but I think he should get a bigger piece of the pie in the rematch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The veteran wideout has commanded a 30.9% target share through three games, which ranks fourth among all wide receivers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s caught at least six passes every week and cashed this wager in two of three contests. The outlier was last week against the Denver Broncos where he went for 53 yards in a loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Philly’s pass defence is still awful, ranking 24th in defensive EPA per dropback. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bowers over 38.5 receiving yards (-113): <\/strong>I bet on Bowers to clear his 45.5-yard receiving total last week and he fell just short, hauling in three catches for 41 yards in a loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95771<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But I can’t say no after seeing the rookie’s line dip into the 30s this Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bowers has cleared this line in every game and leads all tight ends in targets (21) and receptions (18). His 197 receiving yards are second to only Dallas Goedert while his 19.6% target share ranks fourth among TEs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Any way you slice it, he’s already one of the best in the league. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Cleveland Browns defence is respectable but has taken a step back from its elite 2023 form. They rank 13th in defensive EPA per dropback after being first last season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 3:04 p.m. ET on 09\/26\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I’m taking the over on three receiving totals for this week’s NFL prop bets. The pregame narrative: George Pickens and Chris Godwin have favourable matchups against the Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles, respectively. Brock Bowers takes on the Cleveland Browns with hopes of regaining the receiving lead among tight ends. Check out the best NFL […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":298650,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181],"class_list":["post-298619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNFL Week 4 prop bets: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 4 prop picks. 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