{"id":298397,"date":"2024-09-25T13:19:31","date_gmt":"2024-09-25T17:19:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298397"},"modified":"2024-09-25T13:19:31","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T17:19:31","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-september-25-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-september-25-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Sept. 25: Back Rangers lefty Cody Bradford and Yankees’ Juan Soto"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

It’s difficult to navigate the prop market during the last week of the MLB season, but I have three plays I like tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Wednesday’s top pick features Texas Rangers left-hander Cody Bradford. I have additional plays on Juan Soto and Davis Martin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB Stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Bradford over 5.5 Ks (-115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95586<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The second-year lefty has made nine starts since rejoining the Rangers’ rotation in August, allowing two runs or fewer in six of those outings and more than three just once. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That one blowup came against MLB’s No. 3 offence by wRC+ (Arizona Diamondbacks), ending a run of five straight starts of logging six or more innings. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradford then bounced back against the Toronto Blue Jays with his best start of the season (seven scoreless). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a strikeout prop but the innings are key here, as Bradford’s ability to work deeper into games gives him more opportunity to pile up Ks. And in what will be his last start of the season, there’s no reason to expect a short leash with the Rangers out of contention. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Part of that ability to work deep is elite control. Bradford’s 3.4 BB% since the start of August is the sixth-best mark among starting pitchers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

As for the strikeouts, Bradford has topped this line in 50% of his outings but heads into an excellent matchup against the Oakland A’s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bradford has faced the A’s twice this season, working six-plus innings and topping this line both times. He fanned seven A’s in April and punched out a season-high eight batters versus Oakland on Aug. 31.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: The A’s have the fourth-highest K rate in MLB (sixth this month).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Soto over 1.5 bases (+150):<\/strong> This is wild value for a player hitting .286\/.417\/.569 with 40 homers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95583<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The caveat with Soto, of course, is that he walks a ton, which is why his prices aren’t often similar to comparable sluggers. Soto’s 125 walks are second to teammate Aaron Judge for the MLB lead. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That said, this is too big a number to pass up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Soto will have the platoon advantage tonight versus Baltimore Orioles starter Zach Eflin, who has struggled mightily in this head-to-head matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The New York Yankees star is batting .500\/.550\/.794 with two homers and four doubles in 40 career plate appearances against Eflin. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Those are good enough numbers and a big enough sample for me to pay attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martin under 5.5 Ks (-132):<\/strong> Martin’s ability to generate swinging strikes in recent starts is impressive but it has not led to Ks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #95587<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even when he had a whopping 18 swinging strikes versus the New York Mets at the end of August, he only finished with six Ks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That was the only time in nine starts this season that he has topped this 5.5 line due to a lack of a putaway pitch. His slider has been great, but he’s not getting enough Ks with it for me to like the over on this prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The matchup is juicy against the Los Angeles Angels but it was in his last start, too. Martin faced the Angels last week, fanning four over five innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He has only hit the six-inning mark twice this season, so the shorter outings make it more difficult to rack up strikeouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 12:52 p.m. ET on 09\/25\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s difficult to navigate the prop market during the last week of the MLB season, but I have three plays I like tonight. The pregame narrative: Wednesday’s top pick features Texas Rangers left-hander Cody Bradford. I have additional plays on Juan Soto and Davis Martin. Check out the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":298434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10,155],"class_list":["post-298397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMLB prop bets Sept. 25: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for Sept. 25. 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