{"id":298350,"date":"2024-09-25T09:33:15","date_gmt":"2024-09-25T13:33:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298350"},"modified":"2024-09-25T09:33:15","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T13:33:15","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-september-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-september-25\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox Sept. 25: Back Guerrero, Duran to produce"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Toronto Blue Jays have nothing left to play for … but they can eliminate the Boston Red Sox from playoff contention tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Toronto has lost five straight and fell in extra-innings yesterday. I’m not looking to back a side, though, and am instead taking player prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Jarren Duran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox on Sept. 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets:\u00a0Click Here<\/a>\u00a0| MLB stats:\u00a0Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Duran to score (+100)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a nice price for Boston’s leadoff man.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duran has reached base safely 11 times in his last five games (seven hits, four walks) and has scored in three of those contests. He’s batting a respectable .285 on the season and leads the Red Sox with 108 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toronto sends Kevin Gausman to the mound and he’s gotten sparked by his AL East rivals lately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In two starts against Boston this season, Gausman allowed seven earned runs and 11 hits in 11.1 IP. Duran was held hitless in one of those games but was 2-for-5 with a run in the other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s done quite well against Gausman overall, going 6-for-16 with four doubles and a home run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gausman neutralized Boston’s lineup in the past with elite swing-and-miss stuff \u2014 he has a 35.2% K rate against the Bo-Sox in 88 plate appearances, per Baseball Savant \u2014 but that’s not the case anymore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The righty’s 21.8% K rate (41st percentile) has taken a nosedive from his 31.1% mark last year (93rd percentile).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Duran should be able to get on base I expect someone batting behind to drive him home. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Duran has scored in eight of 12 games against the Blue Jays this year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+100):<\/strong> Forgive us for sounding like a broken record but there’s good reason to continue backing Guerrero at the plate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our Jordan Horrobin took this wager yesterday and it cashed when Vladdy shot a third-inning double into centre field. Guerrero has cleared this line in 35 of 59 games since the all-star break, including three of his last four. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He leads MLB in batting average (.382) and is second in OPS (1.153) since the Midsummer Classic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tonight’s matchup against Boston’s Richard Fitts profiles as a favourable one for Guerrero. The rookie righty hasn’t given up a run in three starts but he has allowed 13 hits in 15.2 IP with a .259 xBA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fitts is mainly a two-pitch guy, throwing a 95-mph fastball 44% of the time and a slider 33% of the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guerrero is slugging .562 against fastballs and .732 against sliders. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 8:10 a.m. on 09\/25\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Toronto Blue Jays have nothing left to play for … but they can eliminate the Boston Red Sox from playoff contention tonight. The pregame narrative: Toronto has lost five straight and fell in extra-innings yesterday. I’m not looking to back a side, though, and am instead taking player prop bets on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":298344,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-298350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Jays picks, odds vs. Red Sox: Sept. 25 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Red Sox for Sept. 25. 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