{"id":298103,"date":"2024-09-23T11:45:16","date_gmt":"2024-09-23T15:45:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=298103"},"modified":"2024-09-23T11:45:17","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T15:45:17","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-september-23-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-september-23-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox Sept. 23: Take the under, fade Houck in plus-money prop bet"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>For the third time this season, Chris Bassitt and Tanner Houck square off in a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Boston won both of the previous Bassitt\/Houck battles, but I&#8217;m not targeting a side in this one. I&#8217;ve got my eye on the under while pairing Houck with Ernie Clement for a plus-money prop wager.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Red Sox on Sept. 23.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>MLB markets:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fsports-hub%2Fbaseball%2Fmlb&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480015353%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=glJDBFkhC3LlPn8TV%2Fci0zsI%2FxcZyEJj%2FJpQPRib62o%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a>&nbsp;| MLB stats:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fnews%2Fstats&amp;data=05%7C02%7CSpencer.Closs%40northstargaming.ca%7C916f83cdf6b946d991c308dcbd828528%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638593615480025470%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=fm4gxgwnsPkAy6JgPBFxseYap85TjIRttY90lvM%2F9ZE%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Under 8.5 runs (-130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:95394\">Embed: #95394<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The standard total tonight is 8 runs, but I&#8217;m willing to pay up just a bit to get the hook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bassitt hasn&#8217;t baffled many teams this year, but he does seem to have the Red Sox&#8217; number. Here are his cumulative numbers against Boston in three starts this year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>19.2 innings <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5 runs (2.29 ERA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>17 strikeouts<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>17 hits<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston&#8217;s current lineup is just 15-for-76 (.197) against Bassitt with a 25% K rate and a .276 SLG. Rafael Devers was recently shut down for the remainder of the season, which certainly helps our cause, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Toronto&#8217;s side of things, the bats really went cold last week. The Jays plated eight runs in the first game of their road trip &#8230; but they scored only nine runs over the ensuing five games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Aug. 28, the Jays have gone under this run total in 17 of 22 games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houck, who&#8217;s seventh in the AL in ERA (3.21) has held Toronto&#8217;s current lineup in check. The Jays have just a .176 BA against him in 56 plate appearances, so I doubt their offence will spring back to life tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Since the start of last season, Bassitt has a 2.14 ERA against Boston in five outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Houck under 4.5 Ks, Clement 1+ hits (+117):<\/strong> Houck has gone over 4.5 Ks in both outings against Toronto this year. So why am I fading him at this number?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:95402\">Embed: #95402<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, the Jays&#8217; lineup isn&#8217;t what it used to be. Of his 12 Ks against Toronto this season, seven came against players who&#8217;ve either been traded or are on the injured list.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houck altered his pitch mix this year to feature a sweeper as his primary offering. The Jays have the lowest whiff rate in the majors against sweepers (23.9%) and the second-lowest K rate (22.0%), per Baseball Savant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houck has been under 4.5 Ks in eight of his past 13 starts and should hit the under again. But there&#8217;s a lot of juice on the line, so I added in a hit for Clement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:95403\">Embed: #95403<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And why not? Clement has hit safely in 12 of 16 starts this month and is batting .292 in September. He&#8217;s coming off a three-hit game in Tampa and is 1-for-2 with a double against Houck. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 10:25 a.m. on 09\/23\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For the third time this season, Chris Bassitt and Tanner Houck square off in a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox. The pregame narrative: Boston won both of the previous Bassitt\/Houck battles, but I&#8217;m not targeting a side in this one. I&#8217;ve got my eye on the under while pairing Houck [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":298131,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-298103","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks, odds vs. Red Sox: Sept. 23 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Red Sox for Sept. 23. 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