{"id":297309,"date":"2024-09-19T10:56:20","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T14:56:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=297309"},"modified":"2024-09-19T10:56:21","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T14:56:21","slug":"mlb-best-bets-september-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/","title":{"rendered":"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Bet on Kikuchi, Astros to cover as run line favourites"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

An over, an under and a run line pick comprise today’s MLB best bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have two of the league’s most potent offences, and I think they’re in a good spot to put up a lot of runs tonight. Later on, Yusei Kikuchi and the Houston Astros look to earn another comfortable win over the Los Angeles Angels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out these MLB best bets for Sept. 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets:\u00a0Click Here<\/a>\u00a0| MLB Stats:\u00a0Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Phillies\/Mets over 8 runs (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Mets put up back-to-back 10-spots to close out their home series against the Nationals, and tonight’s matchup should be a recipe for runs, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Phillies starter Taijuan Walker (3-6, 6.29 ERA) would have the highest ERA in the majors if he’d pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title. Since the start of August, opponents have a .355\/.408\/.646 slash line against him in seven outings (four starts). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Mets have four runs on six hits against Walker across 9.0 innings this year, so he hasn’t been stung too badly. But New York’s lineup has a .490 xSLG against Walker (130 plate appearances), per Baseball Savant, so it’s possible they’re due for more damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With that in mind, I could take the over on the Mets’ team total. But I want in on the Phillies’ offence, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Philadelphia’s lineup is 11-for-42 (.262) with a .452 SLG against Mets starter Luis Severino. These high-scoring teams have pushed each other in the past and should light up the scoreboard tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seven of nine matchups between the Phillies and Mets this year have cleared this total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: The Phillies (4.82 runs\/game) and Mets (4.80) rank fifth and sixth in scoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Yankees\/Mariners under 7.5 runs (-134):<\/strong> The New York Yankees crawled to a 2-1 win in extra innings last night and then popped champagne to celebrate clinching a postseason berth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In typical hangover game fashion, I assume some of New York’s stars will get to watch today’s afternoon game from the bench. But please, monitor the Yankees’ lineup announcements closer to game time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One guy who won’t<\/em> get the day off is starting pitcher Clarke Schmidt (5-3, 2.41 ERA), who has allowed no more than three runs in any of his 13 starts this year. He has a 1.29 ERA over his past six outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Seattle Mariners starter Logan Gilbert (7-11, 3.24) is no slouch, either. And 19 of his 30 starts have finished under 7.5 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Astros -1.5 (-138)<\/strong>: A lot of pundits criticized the Astros for a presumed overpay in their acquisition of Kikuchi, but that deal has worked out awfully well for Houston so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Houston is 8-0 in Kikuchi’s starts, outscoring opponents by 2.4 runs per game. The Astros have covered a -1.5 run line in each of his past four outings \u2014 including a Sept. 13 matchup against the Los Angeles Angels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tonight, Kikuchi will rematch the Angels, who own a .684 OPS against left-handers (21st in MLB).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L.A. counters on the mound with Jose Suarez, who has pitched seven scoreless innings since returning from a minor league demotion … but he still has a 6.80 ERA in 42.1 frames this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Astros just swept the Angels with a trio of run-line victories from Sept. 13-15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 10:58 a.m. ET on 09\/19\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An over, an under and a run line pick comprise today’s MLB best bets. The pregame narrative: The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets have two of the league’s most potent offences, and I think they’re in a good spot to put up a lot of runs tonight. Later on, Yusei Kikuchi and the Houston […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":297266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-297309","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-19T14:56:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-09-19T14:56:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/CP173035000-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/\",\"name\":\"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-19T14:56:20+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-09-19T14:56:21+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-09-19T14:56:20+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-09-19T14:56:21+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2560,"height":1707,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/CP173035000-scaled.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/","name":"MLB best bets Sept. 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-09-19T14:56:20+00:00","dateModified":"2024-09-19T14:56:21+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our MLB best bets for Sept. 19. Baseball betting odds, predictions and analysis for Thursday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-best-bets-september-19\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/297309","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=297309"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/297309\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":297316,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/297309\/revisions\/297316"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/297266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=297309"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=297309"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=297309"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}