{"id":296397,"date":"2024-09-13T12:18:58","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T16:18:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=296397"},"modified":"2024-09-13T12:19:27","modified_gmt":"2024-09-13T16:19:27","slug":"rangers-vs-mariers-prop-picks-september-13-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/rangers-vs-mariers-prop-picks-september-13-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Rangers vs. Mariners prop picks Sept. 13: Bet the over on Jacob deGrom’s strikeout prop in season debut"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

For the first time in 16 and a half months, Jacob deGrom will pitch in a meaningful MLB game. He’s starting tonight for the Texas Rangers on the road against the Seattle Mariners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Regardless of what kind of pitch limit deGrom might be on, his return to the majors is exciting for anyone who loves elite pitching. In his season debut, the two-time Cy Young winner has a strikeout line set at 6.5 and I’m riding with the over as my best bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Rangers vs. Mariners prop picks<\/a> for Sept. 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rangers vs. Mariners prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB Stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet<\/a>: deGrom over 6.5 Ks (-109)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94495<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

deGrom will almost certainly be on a pitch count tonight, which is the only way to explain why this line isn’t higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Mariners have the highest K rate in the majors (27.3%), the second-highest whiff rate and the third-lowest chase contact rate. The past five starters who faced them posted an 11.9 K\/9 collectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That includes Rangers rookie Kumar Rocker, who fanned seven Mariners last night in just 4.0 innings of work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rocker is a right-hander with an upper-90s fastball and a devastating slider. deGrom fits that exact profile, only with a harder<\/em> fastball and several years of strikeout dominance under his belt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since 2020, the four-time all-star has posted a 14.0 K\/9. That equates to just under 7.8 Ks for every five innings of work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We may only see four or five innings of work from deGrom tonight, and the Rangers’ potential restrictiveness with him is where most of the risk lies for this wager. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But his proven efficiency as a strikeout producer \u2014 not to mention the Mariners’ strikeout efficiency from the offensive side \u2014 gives me confidence that he can hit this over on a limited workload.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> deGrom struck out 15 batters over 10.2 innings in his four rehab starts. He built up to 49 pitches over 4.0 innings in his most recent outing (Sept. 7 for Triple-A Frisco).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Parlay: Josh Jung, Victor Robles 1+ hits each (+117)<\/a>:<\/strong> Seattle hadn’t announced its starting pitcher at the time of this writing, but I’m willing to put Jung up against pretty much anyone right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94510<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With a home run last night, Jung is now batting .342 with a .998 OPS so far this month. He also has at least one hit in 27 of his past 35 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Seattle’s side, Robles has had the benefit (or arguably, the misfortune) of seeing deGrom a fair amount in the past. The outfielder is 4-for-17 with a pair of doubles in those encounters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94509<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Those numbers aren’t flashy, but it’s nice that Robles will know what he’s getting himself into tonight. Also, he’s on a wild run right now, batting 27-for-67 (.403) over his past 20 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 12:00 p.m. ET 09\/13\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking to get started? Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For the first time in 16 and a half months, Jacob deGrom will pitch in a meaningful MLB game. He’s starting tonight for the Texas Rangers on the road against the Seattle Mariners. The pregame narrative: Regardless of what kind of pitch limit deGrom might be on, his return to the majors is exciting for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":296430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-296397","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRangers vs. Mariners prop picks & predictions: Sept. 13 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Rangers vs. Mariners prop picks for Sept. 13. 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