{"id":295951,"date":"2024-09-10T13:44:37","date_gmt":"2024-09-10T17:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295951"},"modified":"2024-09-10T13:44:38","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T17:44:38","slug":"nfl-week-2-underdog-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-week-2-underdog-picks-and-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 2 underdog picks and predictions: Without Love, look for Packers to win at home"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Underdogs only went 3-13 in NFL Week 1, but our Avery Perri nabbed one of them (Steelers) in last week&#8217;s edition of NFL underdog picks. Now it&#8217;s my turn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The Green Bay Packers are in a tough spot after Jordan Love went down with a knee injury, but there are some compelling reasons why they can win at home against the Indianapolis Colts. Additionally, I don&#8217;t understand why the Los Angeles Rams are getting points against the Arizona Cardinals, but I&#8217;ll gladly tail L.A.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out how these NFL Week 2 underdog picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NFL Week 2 underdog picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full NFL <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\">Week 2 betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Packers moneyline (+145)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#8217;s be clear &#8230; this pick is <em>not<\/em> about hyping up Malik Willis, a guy who failed to beat out Mason Rudolph for the Tennessee Titans&#8217; backup job in camp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m putting my faith in Green Bay coach Matt Lafleur, who has two extra days to coordinate an offensive game plan that focuses on a run-heavy approach and makes life (relatively) easy on the newcomer at quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week, the Houston Texans ran the ball 40 times and steamrolled the Colts&#8217; defensive front. Running it that many times is certainly a choice when reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year C.J. Stroud is under centre, but the decision paid off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston rushed for 213 yards (5.3\/carry) despite only breaking five tackles. More than half their rush yards (116) came before contact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indianapolis allowed Houston&#8217;s run game to operate with a 52.8% success rate, per rbsdm.com. A run is deemed &#8220;successful&#8221; when it achieves one of these milestones:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>At least 40% of yards-to-gain on first down<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>At least 60% of yards-to-gain on second down<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>100% or more of yards-to-gain on third\/fourth down.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>How does this relate to Green Bay? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, the Packers also had a high run success rate in the opening week (45.8%, eighth in the NFL), and their offensive line has a higher grade than Houston&#8217;s on Pro Football Focus (14th versus 22nd).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay churned for 7.8 yards per carry on 21 attempts in Week 1 against a beefed-up Philadelphia Eagles front. I think Josh Jacobs and Co. can shoulder the bulk of the offensive workload as Willis works to get his bearings in Green Bay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember, Willis was only traded to the Packers on Aug. 26. Every week, every day and every rep matters. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Green Bay is 5-1 straight up as a home underdog since 2021, per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-fa134a48-a478-432b-95e0-66881f0d337b\">Week 2 upset predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rams moneyline (+105):<\/strong> This is barely an underdog pick, but the Rams do technically have the longer odds as the visiting team against the Cardinals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles has a habit of losing to the great teams and beating the not-so-great ones. Last year, six of their seven losses came against playoff squads (the other was a three-point loss at Cincinnati before Joe Burrow&#8217;s injury). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And if the overtime coin flip had gone the other way on Sunday Night Football, L.A. might&#8217;ve upset an ultra-talented Detroit squad on the road last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Rams are 3-0 in Arizona with Matthew Stafford, who I think will author another victory on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:40 p.m. ET on 09\/10\/2024.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Underdogs only went 3-13 in NFL Week 1, but our Avery Perri nabbed one of them (Steelers) in last week&#8217;s edition of NFL underdog picks. Now it&#8217;s my turn. The pregame narrative: The Green Bay Packers are in a tough spot after Jordan Love went down with a knee injury, but there are some compelling [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":295933,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-295951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL Week 2 underdog picks, predictions and odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL Week 2 underdog picks. 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