{"id":295865,"date":"2024-09-10T10:21:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-10T14:21:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295865"},"modified":"2024-09-10T10:21:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T14:21:07","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Mets Sept. 10: Expect Peterson to quiet Toronto’s bats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The New York Mets won a dramatic, low-scoring affair against the Toronto Blue Jays last night, and we could be in for a similar situation on Tuesday at Rogers Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> David Peterson faces former Met Chris Bassitt, and I’m backing Peterson’s side to hold Toronto to a low run total. I also like Daulton Varsho’s chances to get a hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Mets on Sept. 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blue Jays picks vs. Mets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets:\u00a0Click Here<\/a>\u00a0| MLB stats:\u00a0Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Blue Jays under 3.5 runs (-125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For the better part of August, Toronto had one of the best offences in baseball. Too little, too late … but still nice to see. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Blue Jays’ bats have gone quiet once again, though, and now they’re running into their worst type of enemy: A left-handed pitcher on a roll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peterson has a 1.63 ERA and a .577 OPS over his past six starts. In each of those, his opponents finished under 3.5 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the whole, it’s been quite a nice season for the five-year vet. Among 128 pitchers with 90-plus innings thrown, he has the seventh-lowest ERA (2.75). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you go by Baseball Savant’s batted ball metrics, you might call Peterson lucky. There’s quite a chasm between his 2.75 ERA and his xERA (4.87). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what Peterson does about as well as anyone is coax ground balls \u2014 52.8% ground ball rate, 90th percentile \u2014 and he should be able to get plenty of those from the Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toronto has the seventh-highest ground ball rate against lefties this year (44.5%). The Jays also have the third-lowest SLG against lefties (.356).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who’s always the team’s best hope for offensive success, limped off the field on Monday after fouling a few balls off his foot. If he misses tonight’s game, this team prop should have an even better chance to cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Toronto has gone under 3.5 runs in nine of its past 12 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Varsho over 0.5 hits (-143):<\/strong> I don’t understand this price for Varsho, who is a much better hitter against lefties than he is against righties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That might seem counterintuitive since he bats from the left side, but it’s true. Just look at Varsho’s splits this year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Situation<\/strong><\/td>BA<\/strong><\/td>OPS<\/strong><\/td>K%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
vs. LHPs<\/td>.286<\/td>.818<\/td>15.8%<\/td><\/tr>
vs. RHPs<\/td>.196<\/td>.673<\/td>29.6%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Peterson is a little<\/em> better against lefty hitters than against righties, but the splits aren’t as drastic. Hitters on the left side are still batting .232 against him (compared to .246 for righties).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Varsho has recorded a hit in 14 of his past 19 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 10:20 a.m. on 09\/10\/24<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The New York Mets won a dramatic, low-scoring affair against the Toronto Blue Jays last night, and we could be in for a similar situation on Tuesday at Rogers Centre. The pregame narrative: David Peterson faces former Met Chris Bassitt, and I’m backing Peterson’s side to hold Toronto to a low run total. I also […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":295863,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-295865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. 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