{"id":295812,"date":"2024-09-10T09:33:53","date_gmt":"2024-09-10T13:33:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295812"},"modified":"2024-09-10T10:17:40","modified_gmt":"2024-09-10T14:17:40","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays picks vs. Mets Sept. 10: Expect Peterson to quiet Toronto’s bats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The New York Mets won a dramatic, low-scoring affair against the Toronto Blue Jays last night, and we could be in for a similar situation on Tuesday at Rogers Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> David Peterson faces former Met Chris Bassitt, and I’m targeting Peterson in this matchup. I like the over on his outs prop and I think Toronto’s run total is worth fading with him on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Mets on Sept. 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blue Jays picks vs. Mets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Blue Jays under 3.5 runs (-112)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94104<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For the better part of August, Toronto had one of the best offences in baseball. Too little, too late … but still nice to see. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Blue Jays’ bats have gone quiet once again, though, and now they’re running into their worst type of enemy: A left-handed pitcher on a roll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peterson has a 1.63 ERA and a .577 OPS over his past six starts. In each of those, his opponents finished under 3.5 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the whole, it’s been quite a nice season for the five-year vet. Among 128 pitchers with 90-plus innings thrown, he has the seventh-lowest ERA (2.75). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you go by Baseball Savant’s batted ball metrics, you might call Peterson lucky. There’s quite a chasm between his 2.75 ERA and his xERA (4.87). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what Peterson does about as well as anyone is coax ground balls \u2014 52.8% ground ball rate, 90th percentile \u2014 and he should be able to get plenty of those from the Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toronto has the seventh-highest ground ball rate against lefties this year (44.5%). The Jays also have the third-lowest SLG against lefties (.356).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who’s always the team’s best hope for offensive success, limped off the field on Monday after fouling a few balls off his foot. If he misses tonight’s game, this team prop should have an even better chance to cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Toronto has gone under 3.5 runs in nine of its past 12 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Peterson over 17.5 outs (-129):<\/strong> The Mets’ bullpen is in a decent spot right now, but they did deploy four relievers last night (including their two high-leverage arms). Some length from Peterson tonight would be welcomed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94114<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

And based on his recent results, I like his chances to work through six frames.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peterson has gone over 17.5 outs in six of his seven starts since the beginning of August. He’s averaged 19.1 outs in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Toronto does stay under its 3.5-run projected total, Peterson will have a solid chance to collect enough outs for this bet to cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Daulton Varsho over 0.5 hits (-132):<\/strong> I don’t understand this price for Varsho, who is a much better hitter against lefties than he is against righties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #94115<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

That might seem counterintuitive since he bats from the left side, but it’s true. Just look at Varsho’s splits this year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Situation<\/strong><\/td>BA<\/strong><\/td>OPS<\/strong><\/td>K%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
vs. LHPs<\/td>.286<\/td>.818<\/td>15.8%<\/td><\/tr>
vs. RHPs<\/td>.196<\/td>.673<\/td>29.6%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Peterson is a little<\/em> better against lefty hitters than against righties, but the splits aren’t as drastic. Hitters on the left side are still batting .232 against him (compared to .246 for righties).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Varsho has recorded a hit in 14 of his past 19 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 9:20 a.m. on 09\/10\/24<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The New York Mets won a dramatic, low-scoring affair against the Toronto Blue Jays last night, and we could be in for a similar situation on Tuesday at Rogers Centre. The pregame narrative: David Peterson faces former Met Chris Bassitt, and I’m targeting Peterson in this matchup. I like the over on his outs prop […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":295863,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-295812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBlue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-09-10T13:33:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-09-10T14:17:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/peterson_lindor.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"853\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/\",\"name\":\"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-09-10T13:33:53+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-09-10T14:17:40+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2024-09-10T13:33:53+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-09-10T14:17:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1280,"height":853,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/09\/peterson_lindor.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/","name":"Blue Jays picks, props, odds vs. Mets: Sept. 10 | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-09-10T13:33:53+00:00","dateModified":"2024-09-10T14:17:40+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. the Mets for Sept. 10. MLB betting odds and predictions for Tuesday's game in Toronto.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mets-september-10-2024\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295812","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=295812"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295812\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":295866,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/295812\/revisions\/295866"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/295863"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=295812"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=295812"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=295812"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}