{"id":295137,"date":"2024-09-06T14:41:51","date_gmt":"2024-09-06T18:41:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=295137"},"modified":"2024-09-06T14:41:52","modified_gmt":"2024-09-06T18:41:52","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-september-6-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-september-6-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets Sept. 6: Back Ohtani, Wheeler and a pair of Rockies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

After a light Thursday, we’re back to a loaded MLB slate on Friday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative<\/strong>: I like two Colorado Rockies on the prop market and I have additional plays on stars Zack Wheeler and Shohei Ohtani.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

MLB Markets: Click Here<\/a> | MLB Stats: Click Here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Brenton Doyle over 0.5 hits (-132)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93784<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

You’d be forgiven when looking at today’s Rockies prop lines if you came away thinking they’re facing Cy Young. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The prices are astronomical, creating tremendous value in a matchup against\u00a0Frankie Montas and the Milwaukee Brewers.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Colorado is last in the National League (and only ahead of the White Sox) in wRC+ in the second half and Montas had a solid August, posting a 3.82 ERA in six starts with his new team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But this is still Frankie Montas, who carries a 4.70 ERA and 1.39 WHIP into tonight’s start. His expected ERA is the same and he has lacklustre strikeout and walk numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Montas is certainly capable of a good start against the Rockies, he’s allowed three-plus runs in eight of his last nine outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’m targeting multiple Rockies against him at these prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brenton Doyle is priced at\u00a0+215 to go over 1.5 total bases. While I think that’s worthy of a play, my official recommendation is Doyle to record a hit at -132.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Doyle has at least one hit in 18 of his last 20 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I also think it’s worth backing Charlie Blackmon, who should hit leadoff and will have the platoon advantage for as long as Montas is on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93785<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Blackmon has been abysmal of late but he has some capable hitters behind him and an optimal spot in the lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Left-handed batters have hit Montas well this year (.278\/.370\/.480) and Blackmon can be had at +175 to score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat<\/strong>: Doyle is batting .296 with a .955 OPS since July 1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Wheeler over 18.5 outs (-118):<\/strong> I don’t typically take the over on this line and when I do it’s usually a plus-money play. But nothing is absolute and this is an excellent matchup for Wheeler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93795<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Philadelphia Phillies ace faces the Miami Marlins, who have lost 16 of their last 25 games and have an 88 wRC+ versus righties (which Wheeler is, and an elite one). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wheeler is nearly automatic for six innings a game, doing so in 10 of his last 12 starts. Six frames wouldn’t cash this for us, but it demonstrates the workhorse’s ability to go deep. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over that 12-start stretch, Wheeler has cleared this line five times. He’s top 10 in the majors in innings pitched. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ohtani over 1.5 total bases (+108):<\/strong> This is priced like this because Ohtani is facing a lefty and will not have the platoon advantage early on, which he routinely exploits. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Embed: #93788<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The NL MVP favourite has 1.100 OPS versus RHPs compared to a mark of .786 against LHPs. That’s a drastic difference and generally falls in line with his career splits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But tonight’s lefty starter for the Cleveland Guardians is Matthew Boyd. He’s been solid in four starts but is not someone I’m shying away from.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Getting Ohtani at plus money versus a non-elite arm is a no-brainer, especially when he may very well see right-handed relievers later in the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Picks made at 1:31 p.m. ET on 09\/06\/2024<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After a light Thursday, we’re back to a loaded MLB slate on Friday. The pregame narrative: I like two Colorado Rockies on the prop market and I have additional plays on stars Zack Wheeler and Shohei Ohtani. Check out the best MLB prop bets for Sept. 6. MLB prop bets MLB Markets: Click Here | MLB Stats: Click […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":295165,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130,10,155],"class_list":["post-295137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb","tag-mlb-betting","tag-mlb-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMLB prop bets Sept. 6: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for September 6. 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